Real Madrid vs AC Milan: result 1-3 and analysis
UEFA Champions LeagueLeague Stage - 4Kick-off on November 5, 2024 at 08:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Santiago Bernabéu, Madrid
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What was the result of Real Madrid vs AC Milan?
AC Milan won 1-3 on November 5, 2024.
Goalscorers
- 12′M. ThiawAC Milan
- 23′Vinícius JúniorReal Madrid (pen.)
- 39′Álvaro MorataAC Milan
- 73′T. ReijndersAC Milan
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Real Madrid have 10 wins, 3 draws and 2 defeats; AC Milan have 7, 3 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 26, 2024 | Barcelona(home) | 0-4 | La Liga |
| Oct 22, 2024 | Borussia Dortmund(home) | 5-2 | UEFA Champions League |
| Oct 19, 2024 | Celta Vigo(away) | 2-1 | La Liga |
| Oct 5, 2024 | Villarreal(home) | 2-0 | La Liga |
| Oct 2, 2024 | Lille(away) | 0-1 | UEFA Champions League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 2, 2024 | Monza(away) | 1-0 | Serie A |
| Oct 29, 2024 | Napoli(home) | 0-2 | Serie A |
| Oct 22, 2024 | Club Brugge KV(home) | 3-1 | UEFA Champions League |
| Oct 19, 2024 | Udinese(home) | 1-0 | Serie A |
| Oct 6, 2024 | Fiorentina(away) | 1-2 | Serie A |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 1 Real Madrid win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 AC Milan win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 1, 2024 | AC Milan 1-0 Real Madrid | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 24, 2023 | Real Madrid 3-2 AC Milan | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 8, 2021 | Real Madrid 0-0 AC Milan | Friendlies Clubs |
Last archived meeting: AC Milan vs Real Madrid on Aug 1, 2024
How many goals should we expect?
Real Madrid score 2.1 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; AC Milan score 1.7 and concede 1.3.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real Madrid | 2.1 | 1.0 | 5 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
| AC Milan | 1.7 | 1.3 | 4 | 9/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Real Madrid | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 21 | 12 | 15 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy