Real Madrid vs Manchester City: result 3-2 and analysis
UEFA Champions LeagueGroup stage - 1Kick-off on September 18, 2012 at 06:45 PM (UTC)Estadio Santiago Bernabéu, Madrid
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What was the result of Real Madrid vs Manchester City?
Real Madrid won 3-2 on September 18, 2012.
Goalscorers
- 69′E. DzekoManchester City
- 76′MarceloReal Madrid
- 85′A. KolarovManchester City
- 87′K. BenzemaReal Madrid
- 90′Cristiano RonaldoReal Madrid
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Real Madrid have 10 wins, 2 draws and 3 defeats; Manchester City have 10, 4 and 1.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 15, 2012 | Sevilla(away) | 0-1 | La Liga |
| Sep 2, 2012 | Granada CF(home) | 3-0 | La Liga |
| Aug 26, 2012 | Getafe(away) | 1-2 | La Liga |
| Aug 19, 2012 | Valencia(home) | 1-1 | La Liga |
| May 13, 2012 | Mallorca(home) | 4-1 | La Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 15, 2012 | Stoke City(away) | 1-1 | Premier League |
| Sep 1, 2012 | QPR(home) | 3-1 | Premier League |
| Aug 26, 2012 | Liverpool(away) | 2-2 | Premier League |
| Aug 19, 2012 | Southampton(home) | 3-2 | Premier League |
| Aug 12, 2012 | Chelsea(away) | 3-2 | Community Shield |
How many goals should we expect?
Real Madrid score 2.4 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Manchester City score 2.4 and concede 1.1.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real Madrid | 2.4 | 1.0 | 4 | 10/15 | 12/15 |
| Manchester City | 2.4 | 1.1 | 4 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Real Madrid sit 9th in UEFA Champions League (15 points from 8 matches) and Manchester City sit 8th (16 points from 8 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Manchester City | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 15 | 9 | 16 |
| 9 | Real Madrid | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 21 | 12 | 15 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy