Real Madrid vs Napoli: result 3-1 and analysis
UEFA Champions League8th FinalsKick-off on February 15, 2017 at 07:45 PM (UTC)Estadio Santiago Bernabéu, Madrid
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What was the result of Real Madrid vs Napoli?
Real Madrid won 3-1 on February 15, 2017.
Goalscorers
- 8′L. InsigneNapoli
- 18′K. BenzemaReal Madrid
- 49′T. KroosReal Madrid
- 54′CasemiroReal Madrid
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Real Madrid have 11 wins, 3 draws and 1 defeats; Napoli have 11, 4 and 0.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 11, 2017 | Osasuna(away) | 3-1 | La Liga |
| Jan 29, 2017 | Real Sociedad(home) | 3-0 | La Liga |
| Jan 21, 2017 | Malaga(home) | 2-1 | La Liga |
| Jan 15, 2017 | Sevilla(away) | 1-2 | La Liga |
| Jan 7, 2017 | Granada CF(home) | 5-0 | La Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 10, 2017 | Genoa(home) | 2-0 | Serie A |
| Feb 4, 2017 | Bologna(away) | 7-1 | Serie A |
| Jan 29, 2017 | Palermo(home) | 1-1 | Serie A |
| Jan 24, 2017 | Fiorentina(home) | 1-0 | Coppa Italia |
| Jan 21, 2017 | AC Milan(away) | 2-1 | Serie A |
How many goals should we expect?
Real Madrid score 2.6 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Napoli score 2.7 and concede 0.9.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real Madrid | 2.6 | 1.1 | 5 | 10/15 | 13/15 |
| Napoli | 2.7 | 0.9 | 5 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Real Madrid sit 9th in UEFA Champions League (15 points from 8 matches) and Napoli sit 30th (8 points from 8 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Real Madrid | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 21 | 12 | 15 |
| 30 | Napoli | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 15 | 8 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy