Benfica vs Borussia Dortmund: result 1-0 and analysis
UEFA Champions League8th FinalsKick-off on February 14, 2017 at 07:45 PM (UTC)Estádio do Sport Lisboa e Benfica (da Luz), Lisboa
Full time
What was the result of Benfica vs Borussia Dortmund?
Benfica won 1-0 on February 14, 2017.
Goalscorers
- 48′Konstantinos MitroglouBenfica
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Benfica have 10 wins, 2 draws and 3 defeats; Borussia Dortmund have 7, 6 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 10, 2017 | Arouca(home) | 3-0 | Primeira Liga |
| Feb 5, 2017 | Nacional(home) | 3-0 | Primeira Liga |
| Jan 30, 2017 | Vitoria Setubal(away) | 0-1 | Primeira Liga |
| Jan 22, 2017 | Tondela(home) | 4-0 | Primeira Liga |
| Jan 18, 2017 | Leixoes(home) | 6-2 | Taça de Portugal |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 11, 2017 | SV Darmstadt 98(away) | 1-2 | Bundesliga |
| Feb 8, 2017 | Hertha BSC(home) | 2-2 | DFB Pokal |
| Feb 4, 2017 | RB Leipzig(home) | 1-0 | Bundesliga |
| Jan 29, 2017 | FSV Mainz 05(away) | 1-1 | Bundesliga |
| Jan 21, 2017 | Werder Bremen(away) | 2-1 | Bundesliga |
How many goals should we expect?
Benfica score 2.5 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Borussia Dortmund score 2.2 and concede 1.4.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Benfica | 2.5 | 0.9 | 8 | 6/15 | 11/15 |
| Borussia Dortmund | 2.2 | 1.4 | 3 | 12/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Benfica sit 24th in UEFA Champions League (9 points from 8 matches) and Borussia Dortmund sit 17th (11 points from 8 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Borussia Dortmund | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 19 | 17 | 11 |
| 24 | Benfica | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 10 | 12 | 9 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy