Real Monarchs vs Minnesota United II: result 1-2 and analysis
MLS Next ProRound of 16Kick-off on October 20, 2025 at 12:00 AM (UTC)Zions Bank Stadium, Herriman, Utah
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What was the result of Real Monarchs vs Minnesota United II?
Minnesota United II won 1-2 on October 20, 2025.
Goalscorers
- 24′Jesús Rafael Barea BarrosoReal Monarchs
- 66′A. FariñaMinnesota United II (pen.)
- 86′M. KamaraMinnesota United II
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Real Monarchs have 8 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats; Minnesota United II have 6, 4 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 5, 2025 | Vancouver Whitecaps II(home) | 4-1 | MLS Next Pro |
| Sep 28, 2025 | North Texas(away) | 4-2 | MLS Next Pro |
| Sep 20, 2025 | Los Angeles FC II(away) | 3-1 | MLS Next Pro |
| Sep 15, 2025 | Ventura County(home) | 2-1 | MLS Next Pro |
| Sep 6, 2025 | Sporting KC II(away) | 1-2 | MLS Next Pro |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 5, 2025 | Sporting KC II(home) | 3-1 | MLS Next Pro |
| Sep 27, 2025 | Colorado Rapids II(away) | 2-1 | MLS Next Pro |
| Sep 21, 2025 | North Texas(home) | 1-2 | MLS Next Pro |
| Sep 13, 2025 | St. Louis City II(away) | 1-1 | MLS Next Pro |
| Sep 5, 2025 | Austin II(home) | 1-0 | MLS Next Pro |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Real Monarchs win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Minnesota United II win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 25, 2025 | Real Monarchs 3-2 Minnesota United II | MLS Next Pro |
| Jul 13, 2025 | Minnesota United II 2-1 Real Monarchs | MLS Next Pro |
| Aug 31, 2024 | Minnesota United II 2-2 Real Monarchs | MLS Next Pro |
| Mar 28, 2024 | Real Monarchs 2-1 Minnesota United II | MLS Next Pro |
| Jul 9, 2023 | Minnesota United II 0-2 Real Monarchs | MLS Next Pro |
| Mar 25, 2023 | Real Monarchs 0-3 Minnesota United II | MLS Next Pro |
Last archived meeting: Real Monarchs vs Minnesota United II on Aug 25, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Real Monarchs score 2.0 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Minnesota United II score 1.5 and concede 1.7.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real Monarchs | 2.0 | 1.3 | 3 | 10/15 | 12/15 |
| Minnesota United II | 1.5 | 1.7 | 2 | 12/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Real Monarchs sit 11th in MLS Next Pro (26 points from 22 matches) and Minnesota United II sit 10th (31 points from 23 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Minnesota United II | 23 | 10 | 0 | 13 | 31 | 36 | 31 |
| 6 | Real Monarchs | 22 | 10 | 0 | 12 | 31 | 42 | 26 |
| 9 | Minnesota United II | 22 | 10 | 0 | 12 | 30 | 35 | 30 |
| 10 | Minnesota United II | 23 | 10 | 0 | 13 | 31 | 36 | 31 |
| 11 | Real Monarchs | 22 | 10 | 0 | 12 | 31 | 42 | 26 |
| 11 | Real Monarchs | 22 | 10 | 0 | 12 | 31 | 42 | 26 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Other matches in the same round
- Oct 19, 2025Philadelphia Union II2-1FC Cincinnati II
- Oct 19, 2025Colorado Rapids II3-2Vancouver Whitecaps II
- Oct 19, 2025New England II0-1Chicago Fire II
- Oct 19, 2025Chattanooga0-2Huntsville City
- Oct 19, 2025New York RB II5-1Carolina Core
- Oct 19, 2025St. Louis City II3-0Ventura County
- Oct 20, 2025The Town3-0North Texas