Real Monarchs vs Minnesota United II: prediction and stats
MLS Next ProGroup StageKick-off on August 16, 2026 at 09:30 PM (UTC)Zions Bank Stadium, Herriman, Utah
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Real Monarchs have 4 wins, 2 draws and 9 defeats; Minnesota United II have 4, 4 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 8, 2026 | Houston Dynamo FC II(away) | 0-3 | MLS Next Pro |
| Aug 2, 2026 | St. Louis City II(away) | 0-3 | MLS Next Pro |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Portland Timbers II(away) | 0-1 | MLS Next Pro |
| Jul 20, 2026 | Tacoma Defiance(home) | 2-4 | MLS Next Pro |
| Jul 11, 2026 | Vancouver Whitecaps II(home) | 2-1 | MLS Next Pro |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 9, 2026 | The Town(home) | 1-1 | MLS Next Pro |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Portland Timbers II(home) | 1-2 | MLS Next Pro |
| Jul 20, 2026 | Sporting KC II(away) | 0-1 | MLS Next Pro |
| Jul 13, 2026 | Austin II(away) | 3-2 | MLS Next Pro |
| Jul 5, 2026 | Houston Dynamo FC II(away) | 0-4 | MLS Next Pro |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Real Monarchs win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Minnesota United II win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 20, 2025 | Real Monarchs 1-2 Minnesota United II | MLS Next Pro |
| Aug 25, 2025 | Real Monarchs 3-2 Minnesota United II | MLS Next Pro |
| Jul 13, 2025 | Minnesota United II 2-1 Real Monarchs | MLS Next Pro |
| Aug 31, 2024 | Minnesota United II 2-2 Real Monarchs | MLS Next Pro |
| Mar 28, 2024 | Real Monarchs 2-1 Minnesota United II | MLS Next Pro |
| Jul 9, 2023 | Minnesota United II 0-2 Real Monarchs | MLS Next Pro |
Last archived meeting: Real Monarchs vs Minnesota United II on Oct 20, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Real Monarchs score 1.3 and concede 2.0 goals per match over their last 15; Minnesota United II score 1.4 and concede 1.7.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real Monarchs | 1.3 | 2.0 | 1 | 9/15 | 11/15 |
| Minnesota United II | 1.4 | 1.7 | 2 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Real Monarchs sit 11th in MLS Next Pro (26 points from 22 matches) and Minnesota United II sit 10th (31 points from 23 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Minnesota United II | 23 | 10 | 0 | 13 | 31 | 36 | 31 |
| 6 | Real Monarchs | 22 | 10 | 0 | 12 | 31 | 42 | 26 |
| 9 | Minnesota United II | 22 | 10 | 0 | 12 | 30 | 35 | 30 |
| 10 | Minnesota United II | 23 | 10 | 0 | 13 | 31 | 36 | 31 |
| 11 | Real Monarchs | 22 | 10 | 0 | 12 | 31 | 42 | 26 |
| 11 | Real Monarchs | 22 | 10 | 0 | 12 | 31 | 42 | 26 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Other matches in the same round
- Feb 28, 2026Inter Miami II1-1Chicago Fire II
- Feb 28, 2026Philadelphia Union II1-0Toronto II
- Feb 28, 2026St. Louis City II4-0Sporting KC II
- Mar 1, 2026Chattanooga1-4Crown Legacy
- Mar 1, 2026Portland Timbers II2-1The Town
- Mar 1, 2026New York RB II4-2Columbus Crew II
- Mar 1, 2026Real Monarchs2-2North Texas
- Mar 1, 2026FC Cincinnati II1-3Connecticut FC