Real Murcia II vs La Nucía: prediction and stats
Segunda División RFEF - Group 3Group 3 - 21Kick-off on February 6, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Campus Universitario, Murcia
The Footlab model makes Real Murcia II the favourite at 41%, against 29% for a draw and 31% for La Nucía. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Real Murcia II vs La Nucía?
A very open match: only 53 Elo points separate Real Murcia II (1,834) and La Nucía (1,887).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Real Murcia II have 4 wins, 6 draws and 5 defeats; La Nucía have 8, 4 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 20, 2026 | Pamplona(away) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Promotion - Play-offs |
| Jun 14, 2026 | Pamplona(home) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Promotion - Play-offs |
| Jun 7, 2026 | Olímpico Totana(home) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| May 31, 2026 | Olímpico Totana(away) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| May 24, 2026 | Mazarrón FC(home) | 2-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 8, 2026 | Alcoyano(home) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jun 20, 2026 | Trival Valderas(home) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Promotion - Play-offs |
| Jun 14, 2026 | Trival Valderas(away) | 0-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Promotion - Play-offs |
| Jun 7, 2026 | Levante II(away) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 6 |
| May 31, 2026 | Levante II(home) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 6 |
How many goals should we expect?
Real Murcia II score 1.1 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; La Nucía score 1.3 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 45% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real Murcia II | 1.1 | 1.5 | 2 | 10/15 | 6/15 |
| La Nucía | 1.3 | 0.7 | 8 | 5/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Real Murcia II vs La Nucía?
- The Footlab model makes Real Murcia II the favourite at 41%, against 29% for a draw and 31% for La Nucía.
- Where and when is Real Murcia II vs La Nucía played?
- Real Murcia II vs La Nucía is played on February 6, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Campus Universitario, in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 3.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 45% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.