Elche II vs Castellonense: prediction and stats
Segunda División RFEF - Group 3Group 3 - 21Kick-off on February 6, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio José Díez Iborra (Ciudad Deportiva de Elche), Elche
The Footlab AI model makes Elche II the favourite at 41%, against 28% for a draw and 31% for Castellonense. The most likely score is 1-1. If Elche II wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 2,834 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 19, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Elche II vs Castellonense?
A very open match: only 38 Elo points separate Elche II (1,867) and Castellonense (1,905).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Elche II vs Castellonense
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Elche II
4-3-3- 42Héctor Peña
- 35Ali Houary
- FFlavio Dion
- 37Mario
- MMontero
- 18Rubén Saiz
- JJavi Gómez
- VVicente Agulló
- DDiego Rosado
- 43Nico Salvador
- 40Owen Bosch
Castellonense
Not enough data to predict the Castellonense lineup.
Computed on October 19, 2026 at 09:00 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Elche II have 6 wins, 1 draw and 8 defeats; Castellonense have 8, 1 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Valencia II(home) | 4-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Ucam Murcia(home) | 1-5 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Yeclano(away) | 0-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Peña Deportiva(home) | 1-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Cieza(away) | 0-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Deportiva Minera(away) | 2-3 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Real Murcia II(home) | 3-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Lorca Deportiva(away) | 0-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Cieza(home) | 1-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Poblense(away) | 2-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Elche II win, 0 draws, 1 Castellonense win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 18, 2024 | Castellonense 3-0 Elche II | Tercera División RFEF - Group 6 |
| Sep 30, 2023 | Elche II 6-0 Castellonense | Tercera División RFEF - Group 6 |
Last archived meeting: Castellonense vs Elche II on Feb 18, 2024
How many goals should we expect?
Elche II score 1.3 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Castellonense score 1.5 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 46% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elche II | 1.3 | 1.6 | 3 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| Castellonense | 1.5 | 1.1 | 5 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Elche II sit 12th in Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 (7 points from 6 matches) and Castellonense sit 3rd (12 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Castellonense | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 6 | 12 |
| 12 | Elche II | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 9 | 7 |
A question about Elche II vs Castellonense?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Elche II vs Castellonense?
- The Footlab AI model makes Elche II the favourite at 41%, against 28% for a draw and 31% for Castellonense.
- Where and when is Elche II vs Castellonense played?
- Elche II vs Castellonense is played on February 6, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio José Díez Iborra (Ciudad Deportiva de Elche), in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 3.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 46% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.