Yeclano vs Ucam Murcia: prediction and stats
Segunda División RFEF - Group 3Group 3 - 21Kick-off on February 6, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Municipal La Constitución, Yecla
The Footlab model makes Yeclano the favourite at 44%, against 28% for a draw and 29% for Ucam Murcia. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Yeclano vs Ucam Murcia?
A very open match: only 46 Elo points separate Yeclano (1,865) and Ucam Murcia (1,911).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Yeclano have 3 wins, 5 draws and 7 defeats; Ucam Murcia have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 3, 2026 | Estepona(home) | 1-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Lorca Deportiva(away) | 2-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Almería II(home) | 1-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Antoniano(away) | 1-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Apr 4, 2026 | Extremadura 1924(home) | 2-3 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 3, 2026 | Xerez(away) | 0-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Real Jaén(home) | 1-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Apr 19, 2026 | La Unión Atlético(away) | 1-4 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Málaga II(home) | 4-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Apr 5, 2026 | Deportiva Minera(away) | 0-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Yeclano win(s), 3 draw(s), 1 Ucam Murcia win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 8, 2026 | Yeclano 1-1 Ucam Murcia | Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Nov 2, 2025 | Ucam Murcia 1-1 Yeclano | Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Aug 7, 2024 | Ucam Murcia 1-2 Yeclano | Friendlies Clubs |
| Mar 3, 2024 | Yeclano 4-2 Ucam Murcia | Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Oct 22, 2023 | Ucam Murcia 4-1 Yeclano | Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Mar 5, 2023 | Yeclano 1-1 Ucam Murcia | Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 |
Last archived meeting: Yeclano vs Ucam Murcia on Mar 8, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Yeclano score 1.0 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Ucam Murcia score 1.3 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 46% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yeclano | 1.0 | 1.3 | 3 | 8/15 | 5/15 |
| Ucam Murcia | 1.3 | 1.4 | 2 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Yeclano vs Ucam Murcia?
- The Footlab model makes Yeclano the favourite at 44%, against 28% for a draw and 29% for Ucam Murcia.
- Where and when is Yeclano vs Ucam Murcia played?
- Yeclano vs Ucam Murcia is played on February 6, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Municipal La Constitución, in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 3.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 46% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.