Real Murcia vs FC Cartagena: prediction and stats
Primera División RFEF - Group 2Group 2 - 26Kick-off on February 28, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Enrique Roca de Murcia, Murcia
The Footlab model makes Real Murcia the favourite at 49%, against 29% for a draw and 22% for FC Cartagena. The most likely score is 1-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Real Murcia vs FC Cartagena?
A very open match: only 77 Elo points separate Real Murcia (1,934) and FC Cartagena (1,857).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Real Murcia have 8 wins, 2 draws and 5 defeats; FC Cartagena have 6, 4 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 8, 2026 | Albacete(away) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Cieza(away) | 4-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Eldense(home) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Port Vale(away) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 24, 2026 | Eldense(home) | 3-0 | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 19, 2026 | Elche II(away) | 0-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Orihuela(home) | 3-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Johor Darul Takzim FC(away) | 0-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 23, 2026 | Real Betis II(home) | 2-2 | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| May 16, 2026 | Ibiza(away) | 1-3 | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 2 Real Murcia win(s), 0 draw(s), 3 FC Cartagena win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 22, 2026 | Real Murcia 1-2 FC Cartagena | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Dec 8, 2025 | FC Cartagena 0-1 Real Murcia | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Aug 5, 2023 | FC Cartagena 3-1 Real Murcia | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 10, 2021 | FC Cartagena 2-0 Real Murcia | Friendlies Clubs |
| Dec 8, 2019 | Real Murcia 2-0 FC Cartagena | Primera División RFEF - Group 4 |
Last archived meeting: Real Murcia vs FC Cartagena on Feb 22, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Real Murcia score 1.7 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; FC Cartagena score 1.0 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 40% probability of over 2.5 goals and 44% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real Murcia | 1.7 | 1.1 | 4 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
| FC Cartagena | 1.0 | 1.1 | 7 | 5/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Real Murcia sit 10th in Primera División RFEF - Group 2 (52 points from 38 matches) and FC Cartagena sit 6th (57 points from 38 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | FC Cartagena | 38 | 15 | 12 | 11 | 37 | 38 | 57 |
| 10 | Real Murcia | 38 | 14 | 10 | 14 | 43 | 40 | 52 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Real Murcia vs FC Cartagena?
- The Footlab model makes Real Murcia the favourite at 49%, against 29% for a draw and 22% for FC Cartagena.
- Where and when is Real Murcia vs FC Cartagena played?
- Real Murcia vs FC Cartagena is played on February 28, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Enrique Roca de Murcia, in the Primera División RFEF - Group 2.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 40% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.