Villarreal II vs Hércules: prediction and stats
Primera División RFEF - Group 2Group 2 - 26Kick-off on February 28, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio de la Cerámica, Villarreal
The Footlab model makes Villarreal II the favourite at 54%, against 27% for a draw and 19% for Hércules. The most likely score is 1-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Villarreal II vs Hércules?
A very open match: only 97 Elo points separate Villarreal II (1,973) and Hércules (1,877).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Villarreal II have 8 wins, 5 draws and 2 defeats; Hércules have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Zaragoza(home) | 0-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 4, 2026 | Eldense(away) | 3-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jun 7, 2026 | Zamora(away) | 0-2 | Primera División RFEF - Play Offs |
| May 31, 2026 | Zamora(home) | 2-0 | Primera División RFEF - Play Offs |
| May 23, 2026 | Sanluqueño(away) | 1-1 | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 14, 2026 | Alcoyano(away) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Castellón(home) | 0-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 23, 2026 | Gimnastic(home) | 1-1 | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| May 16, 2026 | Algeciras(away) | 2-0 | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| May 9, 2026 | Ibiza(home) | 2-1 | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Villarreal II win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Hércules win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 3, 2026 | Villarreal II 1-0 Hércules | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Oct 18, 2025 | Hércules 2-1 Villarreal II | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| May 4, 2025 | Villarreal II 2-1 Hércules | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Nov 17, 2024 | Hércules 0-2 Villarreal II | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Jul 26, 2024 | Villarreal II 0-1 Hércules | Friendlies Clubs |
| Mar 6, 2021 | Villarreal II 2-1 Hércules | Primera División RFEF - Group 3 |
Last archived meeting: Villarreal II vs Hércules on May 3, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Villarreal II score 1.6 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Hércules score 1.0 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 43% probability of over 2.5 goals and 45% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Villarreal II | 1.6 | 0.9 | 7 | 6/15 | 5/15 |
| Hércules | 1.0 | 0.9 | 6 | 4/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Villarreal II sit 4th in Primera División RFEF - Group 2 (63 points from 38 matches) and Hércules sit 9th (54 points from 38 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Villarreal II | 38 | 16 | 15 | 7 | 54 | 32 | 63 |
| 9 | Hércules | 38 | 14 | 12 | 12 | 43 | 41 | 54 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Villarreal II vs Hércules?
- The Footlab model makes Villarreal II the favourite at 54%, against 27% for a draw and 19% for Hércules.
- Where and when is Villarreal II vs Hércules played?
- Villarreal II vs Hércules is played on February 28, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio de la Cerámica, in the Primera División RFEF - Group 2.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 43% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.