Real Noroeste vs Estrela do Norte: result 3-2 and analysis
Capixaba1st Round - 9Kick-off on March 11, 2023 at 06:00 PM (UTC)Estádio José Olímpio da Rocha, Águia Branca, Espírito Santo
Full time
What was the result of Real Noroeste vs Estrela do Norte?
Real Noroeste won 3-2 on March 11, 2023.
Goalscorers
- 3′?Real Noroeste
- 48′PiauíReal Noroeste
- 51′?Estrela do Norte
- 64′PiauíReal Noroeste
- 88′?Estrela do Norte
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Real Noroeste have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; Estrela do Norte have 4, 3 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 4, 2023 | Vitória ES(away) | 0-2 | Capixaba |
| Feb 28, 2023 | Vila Nova(home) | 1-1 | Copa Do Brasil |
| Feb 25, 2023 | Vilavelhense(home) | 2-1 | Capixaba |
| Feb 19, 2023 | União Rondonópolis(away) | 0-1 | Copa Verde |
| Feb 15, 2023 | Rio Branco ES(away) | 0-1 | Capixaba |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 6, 2023 | Vilavelhense(home) | 1-0 | Capixaba |
| Feb 22, 2023 | Porto Vitória(away) | 0-1 | Capixaba |
| Feb 16, 2023 | Desportiva ES(home) | 1-1 | Capixaba |
| Feb 8, 2023 | Itapemirim(away) | 2-0 | Capixaba |
| Feb 6, 2023 | Vitória ES(home) | 1-3 | Capixaba |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 4 Real Noroeste wins, 1 draw, 0 Estrela do Norte wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 26, 2022 | Estrela do Norte 1-1 Real Noroeste | Capixaba |
| May 9, 2021 | Real Noroeste 1-0 Estrela do Norte | Capixaba |
| May 6, 2021 | Estrela do Norte 1-2 Real Noroeste | Capixaba |
| Feb 27, 2021 | Real Noroeste 2-0 Estrela do Norte | Capixaba |
| Feb 9, 2020 | Real Noroeste 2-1 Estrela do Norte | Capixaba |
Last archived meeting: Estrela do Norte vs Real Noroeste on Mar 26, 2022
How many goals should we expect?
Real Noroeste score 1.1 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Estrela do Norte score 1.1 and concede 1.4.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real Noroeste | 1.1 | 1.0 | 4 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
| Estrela do Norte | 1.1 | 1.4 | 5 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Real Noroeste | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 13 | 11 |
A question about Real Noroeste vs Estrela do Norte?
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy