Real Noroeste vs Porto Vitória: result 3-1 and analysis
Capixaba1st Round - 5Kick-off on February 11, 2023 at 09:45 PM (UTC)Estádio José Olímpio da Rocha, Águia Branca, Espírito Santo
Full time
What was the result of Real Noroeste vs Porto Vitória?
Real Noroeste won 3-1 on February 11, 2023.
Goalscorers
- 50′Juninho PotiguarReal Noroeste
- 75′BalbinoReal Noroeste
- 79′?Porto Vitória
- 87′Juninho PotiguarReal Noroeste
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Real Noroeste have 6 wins, 6 draws and 3 defeats; Porto Vitória have 3, 0 and 1.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 5, 2023 | Nova Venécia(away) | 1-0 | Capixaba |
| Feb 1, 2023 | Desportiva ES(home) | 0-1 | Capixaba |
| Jan 27, 2023 | Serra Talhada(away) | 2-1 | Capixaba |
| Jan 20, 2023 | Itapemirim(home) | 4-0 | Capixaba |
| Oct 31, 2022 | Vila Nova(away) | 0-0 | Copa Verde |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 6, 2023 | Desportiva ES(home) | 4-0 | Capixaba |
| Feb 1, 2023 | Itapemirim(away) | 3-1 | Capixaba |
| Jan 25, 2023 | Vitória ES(home) | 1-3 | Capixaba |
| Jan 20, 2023 | Rio Branco ES(away) | 2-1 | Capixaba |
How many goals should we expect?
Real Noroeste score 1.5 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Porto Vitória score 2.5 and concede 1.3.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real Noroeste | 1.5 | 0.9 | 7 | 6/15 | 8/15 |
| Porto Vitória | 2.5 | 1.3 | 1 | 3/4 | 4/4 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Real Noroeste sit 7th in Capixaba (11 points from 9 matches) and Porto Vitória sit 5th (13 points from 9 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Porto Vitória | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 5 | 13 |
| 7 | Real Noroeste | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 13 | 11 |
A question about Real Noroeste vs Porto Vitória?
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy