Real Noroeste vs Vilavelhense: result 2-1 and analysis
Capixaba1st Round - 3Kick-off on January 29, 2025 at 09:00 PM (UTC)Estádio José Olímpio da Rocha, Águia Branca, Espírito Santo
Full time
What was the result of Real Noroeste vs Vilavelhense?
Real Noroeste won 2-1 on January 29, 2025.
Goalscorers
- 23′?Vilavelhense
- 65′?Real Noroeste
- 86′?Real Noroeste
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Real Noroeste have 4 wins, 5 draws and 6 defeats; Vilavelhense have 7, 4 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 26, 2025 | Rio Branco-VN(home) | 1-2 | Capixaba |
| Jan 20, 2025 | Porto Vitória(away) | 1-1 | Capixaba |
| Aug 17, 2024 | Vitória ES(away) | 0-1 | Copa Espírito Santo |
| Aug 10, 2024 | Desportiva ES(home) | 1-2 | Copa Espírito Santo |
| Aug 7, 2024 | Capixaba SC(away) | 3-1 | Copa Espírito Santo |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 26, 2025 | Jaguaré(home) | 1-1 | Capixaba |
| Jan 19, 2025 | Rio Branco-VN(away) | 1-1 | Capixaba |
| Nov 24, 2024 | Capixaba SC(away) | 0-1 | Capixaba B |
| Nov 18, 2024 | Castelo(home) | 2-2 | Capixaba B |
| Nov 13, 2024 | Castelo(away) | 1-0 | Capixaba B |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 2 Real Noroeste wins, 0 draws, 2 Vilavelhense wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jun 22, 2024 | Real Noroeste 3-1 Vilavelhense | Copa Espírito Santo |
| Feb 25, 2023 | Real Noroeste 2-1 Vilavelhense | Capixaba |
| Mar 12, 2022 | Vilavelhense 1-0 Real Noroeste | Capixaba |
| May 1, 2021 | Real Noroeste 2-3 Vilavelhense | Capixaba |
Last archived meeting: Real Noroeste vs Vilavelhense on Jun 22, 2024
How many goals should we expect?
Real Noroeste score 1.3 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Vilavelhense score 2.4 and concede 1.0.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real Noroeste | 1.3 | 1.5 | 2 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
| Vilavelhense | 2.4 | 1.0 | 6 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Real Noroeste sit 7th in Capixaba (11 points from 9 matches) and Vilavelhense sit 3rd (13 points from 9 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Vilavelhense | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 8 | 10 | 13 |
| 7 | Real Noroeste | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 13 | 11 |
A question about Real Noroeste vs Vilavelhense?
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy