Real Noroeste vs Vilavelhense: result 2-3 and analysis
Capixaba1st Round - 9Kick-off on May 1, 2021 at 06:00 PM (UTC)Estádio José Olímpio da Rocha, Águia Branca, Espírito Santo
Full time
What was the result of Real Noroeste vs Vilavelhense?
Vilavelhense won 2-3 on May 1, 2021.
Goalscorers
- 8′?Real Noroeste
- 39′?Vilavelhense
- 56′?Vilavelhense
- 89′?Vilavelhense
- 90′?Real Noroeste
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Real Noroeste have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Vilavelhense have 2, 3 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 27, 2021 | Rio Branco ES(away) | 2-1 | Capixaba |
| Apr 24, 2021 | Serra Talhada(home) | 2-0 | Capixaba |
| Apr 17, 2021 | Vitória ES(away) | 0-2 | Capixaba |
| Apr 14, 2021 | Pinheiros(home) | 2-0 | Capixaba |
| Apr 10, 2021 | Rio Branco-VN(away) | 0-3 | Capixaba |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 28, 2021 | Serra Talhada(home) | 3-3 | Capixaba |
| Apr 24, 2021 | Pinheiros(away) | 3-2 | Capixaba |
| Apr 18, 2021 | São Mateus(home) | 2-0 | Capixaba |
| Apr 14, 2021 | Estrela do Norte(away) | 0-0 | Capixaba |
| Apr 10, 2021 | Rio Branco ES(home) | 1-1 | Capixaba |
How many goals should we expect?
Real Noroeste score 1.1 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Vilavelhense score 1.4 and concede 2.0.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real Noroeste | 1.1 | 1.3 | 5 | 5/15 | 6/15 |
| Vilavelhense | 1.4 | 2.0 | 2 | 5/8 | 5/8 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Real Noroeste sit 7th in Capixaba (11 points from 9 matches) and Vilavelhense sit 3rd (13 points from 9 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Vilavelhense | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 8 | 10 | 13 |
| 7 | Real Noroeste | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 13 | 11 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy