Oriente Petrolero vs Guabirá: prediction and stats
Copa de la División ProfesionalGroup Stage - 3Kick-off on September 9, 2026 at 12:30 AM (UTC)Estadio Ramón Aguilera Costas, Santa Cruz de la Sierra
The Footlab model makes Oriente Petrolero the favourite at 59%, against 22% for a draw and 19% for Guabirá. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Oriente Petrolero vs Guabirá?
A very open match: only 47 Elo points separate Oriente Petrolero (1,539) and Guabirá (1,586).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Oriente Petrolero have 7 wins, 2 draws and 6 defeats; Guabirá have 8, 3 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | San Antonio Bulo Bulo(home) | 4-0 | Primera División |
| Aug 19, 2026 | The Strongest(away) | 1-2 | Copa de la División Profesional |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Real Oruro(away) | 3-2 | Primera División |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Universitario de Vinto(home) | 5-0 | Primera División |
| Aug 6, 2026 | Bolívar(away) | 1-2 | Primera División |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Blooming(home) | 1-1 | Primera División |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Universitario de Vinto(home) | 2-1 | Copa de la División Profesional |
| Aug 15, 2026 | The Strongest(home) | 3-1 | Primera División |
| Aug 7, 2026 | ABB(away) | 1-0 | Primera División |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Real Tomayapo(home) | 3-0 | Primera División |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Oriente Petrolero win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 Guabirá win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 15, 2026 | Oriente Petrolero 2-2 Guabirá | Primera División |
| Nov 3, 2025 | Oriente Petrolero 4-0 Guabirá | Primera División |
| Jul 16, 2025 | Oriente Petrolero 2-1 Guabirá | Copa de la División Profesional |
| Jun 26, 2025 | Guabirá 3-3 Oriente Petrolero | Copa de la División Profesional |
| May 25, 2025 | Guabirá 1-3 Oriente Petrolero | Primera División |
| Feb 23, 2025 | Guabirá 3-2 Oriente Petrolero | Torneo Amistoso de Verano |
Last archived meeting: Oriente Petrolero vs Guabirá on May 15, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Oriente Petrolero score 1.9 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Guabirá score 1.8 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 60% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oriente Petrolero | 1.9 | 1.3 | 4 | 9/15 | 11/15 |
| Guabirá | 1.8 | 1.5 | 3 | 10/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Oriente Petrolero vs Guabirá?
- The Footlab model makes Oriente Petrolero the favourite at 59%, against 22% for a draw and 19% for Guabirá.
- Where and when is Oriente Petrolero vs Guabirá played?
- Oriente Petrolero vs Guabirá is played on September 9, 2026 at 12:30 AM (UTC) at Estadio Ramón Aguilera Costas, in the Copa de la División Profesional.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 60% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.