Aurora vs Universitario de Vinto: prediction and stats
Primera DivisiónApertura - 25Kick-off on November 10, 2026 at 12:30 AM (UTC)Estadio Félix Capriles, Cochabamba
The Footlab AI model makes Aurora the favourite at 65%, against 19% for a draw and 16% for Universitario de Vinto. The most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 4,449 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 4, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Aurora vs Universitario de Vinto?
Aurora starts as the favourite with a 137-point Elo edge (1,571 vs 1,434).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Aurora vs Universitario de Vinto
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Aurora
5-4-1- 9M. Rangel
- 14H. Sánchez
- 10R. Ramallo
- 19J. Sánchez
- 69A. Terrazas
- 16D. Barro
- 22J. Velázquez
- 5A. Amarilla
- 4I. Vidaurre
- 70J. Torrico
- 12R. Cordano
Universitario de Vinto
4-2-3-1- 79O. Blanco
- 24H. Rodríguez
- 17Didí Torrico
- 9A. Llano
- 7H. Dorrego
- 22J. Calicho
- 70Julio Lazarte
- 50D. Vargas
- 66A. Cuestas
- 19J. Veizaga
- 1B. Poveda
Computed on November 4, 2026 at 06:18 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Aurora have 8 wins, 4 draws and 3 defeats; Universitario de Vinto have 5, 2 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3, 2026 | Independiente Petrolero(home) | 3-2 | Copa de la División Profesional |
| Oct 31, 2026 | Oriente Petrolero(away) | 1-1 | Primera División |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Real Tomayapo(home) | 1-0 | Primera División |
| Oct 20, 2026 | Independiente Petrolero(away) | 0-4 | Copa de la División Profesional |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Real Oruro(away) | 0-1 | Primera División |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2026 | Always Ready(home) | 1-3 | Primera División |
| Oct 27, 2026 | Bolívar(away) | 1-2 | Primera División |
| Oct 17, 2026 | San Antonio Bulo Bulo(home) | 2-1 | Primera División |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Real Oruro(home) | 1-3 | Primera División |
| Oct 8, 2026 | Oriente Petrolero(away) | 0-2 | Copa de la División Profesional |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Aurora wins, 2 draws, 0 Universitario de Vinto wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 19, 2026 | Aurora 4-2 Universitario de Vinto | Copa de la División Profesional |
| Sep 1, 2026 | Universitario de Vinto 1-1 Aurora | Copa de la División Profesional |
| Jun 2, 2026 | Universitario de Vinto 1-2 Aurora | Primera División |
| Feb 7, 2026 | Aurora 2-1 Universitario de Vinto | Torneo Amistoso de Verano |
| Jan 31, 2026 | Universitario de Vinto 2-2 Aurora | Torneo Amistoso de Verano |
| Dec 8, 2025 | Aurora 2-0 Universitario de Vinto | Primera División |
Last archived meeting: Aurora vs Universitario de Vinto on Sep 19, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Aurora score 1.6 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Universitario de Vinto score 1.5 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 71% probability of over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aurora | 1.6 | 1.2 | 6 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
| Universitario de Vinto | 1.5 | 1.9 | 2 | 11/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Aurora sit 6th in Primera División (35 points from 24 matches) and Universitario de Vinto sit 13th (21 points from 24 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Aurora | 24 | 8 | 11 | 5 | 35 | 31 | 35 |
| 13 | Universitario de Vinto | 24 | 6 | 3 | 15 | 31 | 48 | 21 |
A question about Aurora vs Universitario de Vinto?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Aurora vs Universitario de Vinto?
- The Footlab AI model makes Aurora the favourite at 65%, against 19% for a draw and 16% for Universitario de Vinto.
- Where and when is Aurora vs Universitario de Vinto played?
- Aurora vs Universitario de Vinto is played on November 10, 2026 at 12:30 AM (UTC) at Estadio Félix Capriles, in the Primera División.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 71% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.