Real Sociedad II vs Tenerife: prediction and stats
Segunda DivisiónRegular Season - 4Kick-off on September 6, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Instalaciones de Zubieta, Donostia-San Sebastián
The Footlab model makes Tenerife the favourite at 44%, against 27% for a draw and 29% for Real Sociedad II. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Real Sociedad II vs Tenerife?
Tenerife starts as the favourite with a 147-point Elo edge (2,035 vs 1,889).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Real Sociedad II have 3 wins, 4 draws and 8 defeats; Tenerife have 7, 5 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Albacete(away) | 2-1 | Segunda División |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Castellón(home) | 0-1 | Segunda División |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Zaragoza(away) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Huesca(home) | 0-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Eibar(home) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 2026 | Eibar(away) | 3-1 | Segunda División |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Leganes(away) | 0-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 4, 2026 | Tamaraceite(home) | 3-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Cadiz(home) | 2-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Marino(away) | 6-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Real Sociedad II win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Tenerife win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 9, 2022 | Real Sociedad II 1-2 Tenerife | Segunda División |
| Nov 28, 2021 | Tenerife 2-0 Real Sociedad II | Segunda División |
Last archived meeting: Real Sociedad II vs Tenerife on Apr 9, 2022
How many goals should we expect?
Real Sociedad II score 0.9 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Tenerife score 2.0 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 49% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real Sociedad II | 0.9 | 1.3 | 3 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
| Tenerife | 2.0 | 0.9 | 6 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Real Sociedad II sit 10th in Segunda División (3 points from 2 matches) and Tenerife sit 5th (3 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Tenerife | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 3 |
| 10 | Real Sociedad II | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Real Sociedad II vs Tenerife?
- The Footlab model makes Tenerife the favourite at 44%, against 27% for a draw and 29% for Real Sociedad II.
- Where and when is Real Sociedad II vs Tenerife played?
- Real Sociedad II vs Tenerife is played on September 6, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Instalaciones de Zubieta, in the Segunda División.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.