Real Sociedad II vs Cadiz: prediction and stats
Segunda DivisiónRegular Season - 15Kick-off on November 22, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Instalaciones de Zubieta, Donostia-San Sebastián
The Footlab model makes Real Sociedad II the favourite at 46%, against 27% for a draw and 26% for Cadiz. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Real Sociedad II vs Cadiz?
A very open match: only 48 Elo points separate Real Sociedad II (1,889) and Cadiz (1,841).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Real Sociedad II have 3 wins, 4 draws and 8 defeats; Cadiz have 3, 5 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Albacete(away) | 2-1 | Segunda División |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Castellón(home) | 0-1 | Segunda División |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Zaragoza(away) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Huesca(home) | 0-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Eibar(home) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Eldense(away) | 2-2 | Segunda División |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Celta de Vigo II(home) | 0-0 | Segunda División |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Las Palmas(home) | 1-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Granada CF(home) | 2-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Tenerife(away) | 2-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Real Sociedad II win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Cadiz win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 23, 2026 | Cadiz 0-2 Real Sociedad II | Segunda División |
| Sep 7, 2025 | Real Sociedad II 3-3 Cadiz | Segunda División |
Last archived meeting: Cadiz vs Real Sociedad II on Feb 23, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Real Sociedad II score 0.9 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Cadiz score 1.6 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 47% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real Sociedad II | 0.9 | 1.3 | 3 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
| Cadiz | 1.6 | 1.5 | 4 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Real Sociedad II sit 13th in Segunda División (3 points from 2 matches) and Cadiz sit 15th (2 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Real Sociedad II | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 |
| 15 | Cadiz | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Real Sociedad II vs Cadiz?
- The Footlab model makes Real Sociedad II the favourite at 46%, against 27% for a draw and 26% for Cadiz.
- Where and when is Real Sociedad II vs Cadiz played?
- Real Sociedad II vs Cadiz is played on November 22, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Instalaciones de Zubieta, in the Segunda División.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.