Real Sociedad vs Villarreal: prediction and stats
La LigaRegular Season - 38Kick-off on May 30, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Reale Arena, Donostia-San Sebastián
The Footlab model makes Real Sociedad the favourite at 40%, against 27% for a draw and 34% for Villarreal. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Real Sociedad vs Villarreal?
A very open match: only 77 Elo points separate Real Sociedad (2,098) and Villarreal (2,175).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Real Sociedad have 2 wins, 6 draws and 7 defeats; Villarreal have 7, 4 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Real Betis(away) | 0-1 | La Liga |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Chelsea(away) | 1-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 8, 2026 | 1. FC Köln(away) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Toulouse(away) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Aston Villa(away) | 4-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Atletico Madrid(away) | 2-2 | La Liga |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Racing Santander(away) | 2-2 | La Liga |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Galatasaray(away) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Levante(home) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Lens(away) | 1-3 | Como Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Real Sociedad win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Villarreal win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 20, 2026 | Villarreal 3-1 Real Sociedad | La Liga |
| Nov 30, 2025 | Real Sociedad 2-3 Villarreal | La Liga |
| Apr 20, 2025 | Villarreal 2-2 Real Sociedad | La Liga |
| Jan 13, 2025 | Real Sociedad 1-0 Villarreal | La Liga |
| Feb 23, 2024 | Real Sociedad 1-3 Villarreal | La Liga |
| Dec 9, 2023 | Villarreal 0-3 Real Sociedad | La Liga |
Last archived meeting: Villarreal vs Real Sociedad on Mar 20, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Real Sociedad score 1.5 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; Villarreal score 2.0 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real Sociedad | 1.5 | 1.8 | 0 | 12/15 | 9/15 |
| Villarreal | 2.0 | 1.4 | 2 | 11/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Real Sociedad sit 19th in La Liga (0 points from 1 matches) and Villarreal sit 9th (2 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Villarreal | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 2 |
| 19 | Real Sociedad | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Real Sociedad vs Villarreal?
- The Footlab model makes Real Sociedad the favourite at 40%, against 27% for a draw and 34% for Villarreal.
- Where and when is Real Sociedad vs Villarreal played?
- Real Sociedad vs Villarreal is played on May 30, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Reale Arena, in the La Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.