Real Unión de Tenerife vs Las Palmas III: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 12Group 12 - 17Kick-off on January 10, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)
The Footlab model makes Real Unión de Tenerife the favourite at 40%, against 29% for a draw and 30% for Las Palmas III. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Real Unión de Tenerife vs Las Palmas III?
A very open match: only 63 Elo points separate Real Unión de Tenerife (1,756) and Las Palmas III (1,819).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Real Unión de Tenerife have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; Las Palmas III have 6, 5 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 10, 2026 | Lanzarote(away) | 0-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| May 3, 2026 | Tamaraceite(home) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Herbania(away) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Las Palmas III(home) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Apr 11, 2026 | Panadería Pulido(away) | 1-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 10, 2026 | San Miguel(home) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| May 3, 2026 | Atlético Paso(away) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Tenisca(home) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Apr 22, 2026 | Panadería Pulido(home) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Real Unión de Tenerife(away) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Real Unión de Tenerife win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Las Palmas III win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 18, 2026 | Real Unión de Tenerife 0-1 Las Palmas III | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Jan 13, 2026 | Las Palmas III 1-1 Real Unión de Tenerife | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
Last archived meeting: Real Unión de Tenerife vs Las Palmas III on Apr 18, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Real Unión de Tenerife score 1.0 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Las Palmas III score 1.3 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 42% probability of over 2.5 goals and 48% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real Unión de Tenerife | 1.0 | 0.7 | 6 | 3/15 | 3/15 |
| Las Palmas III | 1.3 | 1.1 | 4 | 8/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Real Unión de Tenerife sit 10th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 (45 points from 34 matches) and Las Palmas III sit 6th (54 points from 34 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Las Palmas III | 34 | 15 | 9 | 10 | 58 | 42 | 54 |
| 10 | Real Unión de Tenerife | 34 | 12 | 9 | 13 | 34 | 32 | 45 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Real Unión de Tenerife vs Las Palmas III?
- The Footlab model makes Real Unión de Tenerife the favourite at 40%, against 29% for a draw and 30% for Las Palmas III.
- Where and when is Real Unión de Tenerife vs Las Palmas III played?
- Real Unión de Tenerife vs Las Palmas III is played on January 10, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC), in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 12.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 42% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Jan 10, 2027LanzarotevsTenerife C
- Jan 10, 2027MarinovsSan Fernando CD
- Jan 10, 2027Villa Santa BrígidavsMensajero
- Jan 10, 2027Unión Sur YaizavsSan Miguel
- Jan 10, 2027EstrellavsAnaza
- Jan 10, 2027Laguna de DuerovsSan Bartolomé
- Jan 10, 2027Los LlanosvsPanadería Pulido
- Jan 10, 2027Playas SotaventovsVillaverde Norte