Match

Real Unión de Tenerife vs Las Palmas III: prediction and stats

Tercera División RFEF - Group 12Group 12 - 17Kick-off on January 10, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)

Real Unión de TenerifeLas Palmas III

The Footlab model makes Real Unión de Tenerife the favourite at 40%, against 29% for a draw and 30% for Las Palmas III. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Real Unión de Tenerife vs Las Palmas III?

A very open match: only 63 Elo points separate Real Unión de Tenerife (1,756) and Las Palmas III (1,819).

Real Unión de Tenerife win40 %
Draw29 %
Las Palmas III win30 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Real Unión de Tenerife have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; Las Palmas III have 6, 5 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Real Unión de Tenerife
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
May 10, 2026Lanzarote(away)0-0Tercera División RFEF - Group 12
May 3, 2026Tamaraceite(home)0-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 12
Apr 25, 2026Herbania(away)0-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 12
Apr 18, 2026Las Palmas III(home)0-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 12
Apr 11, 2026Panadería Pulido(away)1-2Tercera División RFEF - Group 12
Las Palmas III
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
May 10, 2026San Miguel(home)0-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 12
May 3, 2026Atlético Paso(away)0-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 12
Apr 25, 2026Tenisca(home)2-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 12
Apr 22, 2026Panadería Pulido(home)1-0Tercera División RFEF - Group 12
Apr 18, 2026Real Unión de Tenerife(away)1-0Tercera División RFEF - Group 12

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Real Unión de Tenerife win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Las Palmas III win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Apr 18, 2026Real Unión de Tenerife 0-1 Las Palmas IIITercera División RFEF - Group 12
Jan 13, 2026Las Palmas III 1-1 Real Unión de TenerifeTercera División RFEF - Group 12

Last archived meeting: Real Unión de Tenerife vs Las Palmas III on Apr 18, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Real Unión de Tenerife score 1.0 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Las Palmas III score 1.3 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 42% probability of over 2.5 goals and 48% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Real Unión de Tenerife1.00.763/153/15
Las Palmas III1.31.148/155/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Real Unión de Tenerife sit 10th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 (45 points from 34 matches) and Las Palmas III sit 6th (54 points from 34 matches).

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
6Las Palmas III3415910584254
10Real Unión de Tenerife3412913343245

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Real Unión de Tenerife vs Las Palmas III?
The Footlab model makes Real Unión de Tenerife the favourite at 40%, against 29% for a draw and 30% for Las Palmas III.
Where and when is Real Unión de Tenerife vs Las Palmas III played?
Real Unión de Tenerife vs Las Palmas III is played on January 10, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC), in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 12.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 42% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Real Unión de Tenerife and Las Palmas III

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