Laguna de Duero vs San Bartolomé: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 12Group 12 · Matchday 17Kick-off on January 10, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)
The Footlab AI model makes San Bartolomé the favourite at 38%, against 28% for a draw and 34% for Laguna de Duero. The most likely score is 1-1. If San Bartolomé wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.2% of the 5,772 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Laguna de Duero vs San Bartolomé?
San Bartolomé starts as the favourite with a 173-point Elo edge (1,659 vs 1,486).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Laguna de Duero vs San Bartolomé
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Laguna de Duero
Not enough data to predict the Laguna de Duero lineup.
San Bartolomé
Not enough data to predict the San Bartolomé lineup.
Computed on November 14, 2026 at 06:46 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Laguna de Duero have 0 wins, 3 draws and 12 defeats; San Bartolomé have 4, 7 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2026 | Lanzarote(away) | 2-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Oct 31, 2026 | Estrella(home) | 0-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Unión Sur Yaiza(away) | 1-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Oct 21, 2026 | Las Palmas III(away) | 0-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Playas Sotavento(home) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7, 2026 | Villaverde Norte(away) | 0-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Oct 31, 2026 | San Miguel(home) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Anaza(away) | 1-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Oct 21, 2026 | Playas Sotavento(home) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Tenerife C(home) | 2-4 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
How many goals should we expect?
Laguna de Duero score 0.9 and concede 2.7 goals per match over their last 15; San Bartolomé score 1.1 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 49% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Laguna de Duero | 0.9 | 2.7 | 0 | 9/15 | 12/15 |
| San Bartolomé | 1.1 | 1.2 | 4 | 9/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Laguna de Duero sit 18th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 (3 points from 10 matches) and San Bartolomé sit 13th (10 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | San Bartolomé | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 13 | 16 | 10 |
| 18 | Laguna de Duero | 10 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 10 | 24 | 3 |
A question about Laguna de Duero vs San Bartolomé?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Laguna de Duero vs San Bartolomé?
- The Footlab AI model makes San Bartolomé the favourite at 38%, against 28% for a draw and 34% for Laguna de Duero.
- Where and when is Laguna de Duero vs San Bartolomé played?
- Laguna de Duero vs San Bartolomé is played on January 10, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC), in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 12.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.2% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Jan 10, 2027LanzarotevsTenerife C
- Jan 10, 2027MarinovsSan Fernando CD
- Jan 10, 2027Villa Santa BrígidavsMensajero
- Jan 10, 2027Unión Sur YaizavsSan Miguel
- Jan 10, 2027EstrellavsAnaza
- Jan 10, 2027Real Unión de TenerifevsLas Palmas III
- Jan 10, 2027Los LlanosvsPanadería Pulido
- Jan 10, 2027Playas SotaventovsVillaverde Norte