Match

Marino vs San Fernando CD: prediction and stats

Tercera División RFEF - Group 12Group 12 - 17Kick-off on January 10, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Antonio Domínguez Alfonso, Los Cristianos (Tenerife)

MarinoSan Fernando CD

The Footlab AI model makes Marino the favourite at 51%, against 26% for a draw and 23% for San Fernando CD. The most likely score is 1-1. If Marino wins, the most likely score is 1-0.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 4,524 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Nov 5, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Marino vs San Fernando CD?

On Elo ratings, Marino has 1,729 points and San Fernando CD 1,736.

51%26%23%
Marino winDrawSan Fernando CD win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Marino vs San Fernando CD

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Marino

Not enough data to predict the Marino lineup.

San Fernando CD

4-3-3
  1. 11A. F. Quintero Guevara
  2. 25I. Traore
  3. 22J. Martel
  1. 20C. Ferreira
  2. JJuan Escobar
  3. RRafa de Vicente
  1. 24Jeremi Rodríguez
  2. 4S. Serbourdin
  3. 21C. Ribalta
  4. 17A. Velicias
  1. 1F. Aleman

Computed on November 5, 2026 at 08:57 AM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Marino have 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; San Fernando CD have 1, 5 and 9.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Marino
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Nov 1, 2026Villa Santa Brígida(home)1-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 12
Oct 25, 2026Lanzarote(away)0-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 12
Oct 21, 2026Los Llanos(away)2-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 12
Oct 18, 2026Estrella(home)1-0Tercera División RFEF - Group 12
Oct 10, 2026Unión Sur Yaiza(away)1-2Tercera División RFEF - Group 12
San Fernando CD
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Sep 8, 2026Orihuela(home)1-3Copa Federacion
Jun 7, 2026Tamaraceite(home)1-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 12
May 30, 2026Tamaraceite(away)0-3Tercera División RFEF - Group 12
Oct 28, 2025Albacete(home)0-3Copa del Rey
May 4, 2025Cádiz II(away)0-2Segunda División RFEF - Group 4

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Marino win, 0 draws, 1 San Fernando CD win.

DateScoreCompetition
Mar 21, 2021Marino 0-1 San Fernando CDPrimera División RFEF - Group 4
Jan 10, 2021San Fernando CD 2-3 MarinoPrimera División RFEF - Group 4

Last archived meeting: Marino vs San Fernando CD on Mar 21, 2021

How many goals should we expect?

Marino score 1.2 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; San Fernando CD score 0.5 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 48% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Marino1.21.638/159/15
San Fernando CD0.51.534/154/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
7Marino9423171114

A question about Marino vs San Fernando CD?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Marino vs San Fernando CD?
The Footlab AI model makes Marino the favourite at 51%, against 26% for a draw and 23% for San Fernando CD.
Where and when is Marino vs San Fernando CD played?
Marino vs San Fernando CD is played on January 10, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Antonio Domínguez Alfonso, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 12.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Marino and San Fernando CD

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