Where and when is Marino vs San Fernando CD played?

Marino vs San Fernando CD is played on January 10, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Antonio Domínguez Alfonso, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 12.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 45% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Marino vs San Fernando CD: prediction and stats

Tercera División RFEF - Group 12Group 12 - 17Kick-off on January 10, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Antonio Domínguez Alfonso, Los Cristianos (Tenerife)

Marino

San Fernando CD

The Footlab model makes Marino the favourite at 46%, against 28% for a draw and 26% for San Fernando CD. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Marino vs San Fernando CD?

A very open match: only 37 Elo points separate Marino (1,704) and San Fernando CD (1,742).

Marino win46 %

Draw28 %

San Fernando CD win26 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Marino have 0 wins, 10 draws and 5 defeats; San Fernando CD have 1, 6 and 8.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Marino
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Jul 26, 2026	Tenerife(home)	0-6	Friendlies Clubs
May 10, 2026	Arucas(home)	1-2	Tercera División RFEF - Group 12
May 1, 2026	Villa Santa Brígida(away)	0-3	Tercera División RFEF - Group 12
Apr 26, 2026	Unión Sur Yaiza(home)	0-0	Tercera División RFEF - Group 12
Apr 18, 2026	San Miguel(away)	0-2	Tercera División RFEF - Group 12

San Fernando CD
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Jun 7, 2026	Tamaraceite(home)	1-1	Tercera División RFEF - Group 12
May 30, 2026	Tamaraceite(away)	0-3	Tercera División RFEF - Group 12
Oct 28, 2025	Albacete(home)	0-3	Copa del Rey
May 4, 2025	Cádiz II(away)	0-2	Segunda División RFEF - Group 4
Apr 27, 2025	Juventud Torremolinos(home)	0-1	Segunda División RFEF - Group 4

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Marino win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 San Fernando CD win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Mar 21, 2021	Marino 0-1 San Fernando CD	Primera División RFEF - Group 4
Jan 10, 2021	San Fernando CD 2-3 Marino	Primera División RFEF - Group 4

Last archived meeting: Marino vs San Fernando CD on Mar 21, 2021

How many goals should we expect?

Marino score 0.7 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; San Fernando CD score 0.4 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 45% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Marino	0.7	1.5	3	8/15	5/15
San Fernando CD	0.4	1.3	4	3/15	3/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
12	Marino	34	8	15	11	44	40	39

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Marino vs San Fernando CD?: The Footlab model makes Marino the favourite at 46%, against 28% for a draw and 26% for San Fernando CD.
Where and when is Marino vs San Fernando CD played?: Marino vs San Fernando CD is played on January 10, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Antonio Domínguez Alfonso, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 12.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 45% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.