Marino vs San Fernando CD: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 12Group 12 - 17Kick-off on January 10, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Antonio Domínguez Alfonso, Los Cristianos (Tenerife)
The Footlab AI model makes Marino the favourite at 51%, against 26% for a draw and 23% for San Fernando CD. The most likely score is 1-1. If Marino wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 4,521 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 5, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Marino vs San Fernando CD?
On Elo ratings, Marino has 1,729 points and San Fernando CD 1,736.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Marino vs San Fernando CD
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Marino
Not enough data to predict the Marino lineup.
San Fernando CD
4-3-3- 11A. F. Quintero Guevara
- 25I. Traore
- 22J. Martel
- 20C. Ferreira
- JJuan Escobar
- RRafa de Vicente
- 24Jeremi Rodríguez
- 4S. Serbourdin
- 21C. Ribalta
- 17A. Velicias
- 1F. Aleman
Computed on November 5, 2026 at 08:57 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Marino have 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; San Fernando CD have 1, 5 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2026 | Villa Santa Brígida(home) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Lanzarote(away) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Oct 21, 2026 | Los Llanos(away) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Estrella(home) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Unión Sur Yaiza(away) | 1-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 8, 2026 | Orihuela(home) | 1-3 | Copa Federacion |
| Jun 7, 2026 | Tamaraceite(home) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| May 30, 2026 | Tamaraceite(away) | 0-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Oct 28, 2025 | Albacete(home) | 0-3 | Copa del Rey |
| May 4, 2025 | Cádiz II(away) | 0-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Marino win, 0 draws, 1 San Fernando CD win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 21, 2021 | Marino 0-1 San Fernando CD | Primera División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Jan 10, 2021 | San Fernando CD 2-3 Marino | Primera División RFEF - Group 4 |
Last archived meeting: Marino vs San Fernando CD on Mar 21, 2021
How many goals should we expect?
Marino score 1.2 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; San Fernando CD score 0.5 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 48% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marino | 1.2 | 1.6 | 3 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
| San Fernando CD | 0.5 | 1.5 | 3 | 4/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Marino | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 17 | 11 | 14 |
A question about Marino vs San Fernando CD?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Marino vs San Fernando CD?
- The Footlab AI model makes Marino the favourite at 51%, against 26% for a draw and 23% for San Fernando CD.
- Where and when is Marino vs San Fernando CD played?
- Marino vs San Fernando CD is played on January 10, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Antonio Domínguez Alfonso, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 12.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Jan 10, 2027LanzarotevsTenerife C
- Jan 10, 2027Villa Santa BrígidavsMensajero
- Jan 10, 2027Unión Sur YaizavsSan Miguel
- Jan 10, 2027EstrellavsAnaza
- Jan 10, 2027Real Unión de TenerifevsLas Palmas III
- Jan 10, 2027Laguna de DuerovsSan Bartolomé
- Jan 10, 2027Los LlanosvsPanadería Pulido
- Jan 10, 2027Playas SotaventovsVillaverde Norte