Recreativo da Caála vs Sagrada Esperança: prediction and stats
GirabolaRegular Season - 22Kick-off on March 13, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Estádio Mártires da Canhala, Caála
The Footlab model makes Recreativo da Caála the favourite at 51%, against 29% for a draw and 20% for Sagrada Esperança. The most likely score is 1-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Recreativo da Caála vs Sagrada Esperança?
A very open match: only 2 Elo points separate Recreativo da Caála (1,656) and Sagrada Esperança (1,659).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Recreativo da Caála have 4 wins, 6 draws and 5 defeats; Sagrada Esperança have 3, 6 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | FC Luanda(away) | 0-0 | Girabola |
| May 29, 2022 | Académica do Lobito(home) | 1-0 | Girabola |
| May 23, 2022 | Sagrada Esperança(away) | 1-1 | Girabola |
| May 7, 2022 | Sporting de Cabinda(away) | 1-2 | Girabola |
| May 1, 2022 | Desportivo Huíla(home) | 2-1 | Girabola |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Bravos do Maquis FC(away) | 0-3 | Girabola |
| May 24, 2026 | 1º de Maio(home) | 1-1 | Girabola |
| May 20, 2026 | Guelson FC(away) | 0-1 | Girabola |
| May 17, 2026 | CD Lunda-Sul(home) | 1-1 | Girabola |
| May 9, 2026 | Redonda FC(away) | 2-0 | Girabola |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Recreativo da Caála win(s), 3 draw(s), 2 Sagrada Esperança win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 23, 2022 | Sagrada Esperança 1-1 Recreativo da Caála | Girabola |
| Dec 23, 2021 | Recreativo da Caála 0-0 Sagrada Esperança | Girabola |
| Jul 19, 2021 | Recreativo da Caála 1-0 Sagrada Esperança | Girabola |
| Feb 28, 2021 | Sagrada Esperança 1-1 Recreativo da Caála | Girabola |
| Dec 7, 2019 | Sagrada Esperança 1-0 Recreativo da Caála | Girabola |
| Apr 13, 2019 | Sagrada Esperança 1-0 Recreativo da Caála | Girabola |
Last archived meeting: Sagrada Esperança vs Recreativo da Caála on May 23, 2022
How many goals should we expect?
Recreativo da Caála score 0.8 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Sagrada Esperança score 0.9 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 37% probability of over 2.5 goals and 41% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Recreativo da Caála | 0.8 | 0.7 | 7 | 5/15 | 4/15 |
| Sagrada Esperança | 0.9 | 1.3 | 4 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Recreativo da Caála sit 9th in Girabola (1 points from 1 matches) and Sagrada Esperança sit 15th (0 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Recreativo da Caála | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 15 | Sagrada Esperança | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Recreativo da Caála vs Sagrada Esperança?
- The Footlab model makes Recreativo da Caála the favourite at 51%, against 29% for a draw and 20% for Sagrada Esperança.
- Where and when is Recreativo da Caála vs Sagrada Esperança played?
- Recreativo da Caála vs Sagrada Esperança is played on March 13, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Estádio Mártires da Canhala, in the Girabola.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 37% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.