Red Bull Salzburg vs Austria Lustenau: prediction and stats
BundesligaRegular Season - 11Kick-off on October 31, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Red Bull Arena, Wals-Siezenheim
The Footlab model makes Red Bull Salzburg the favourite at 62%, against 22% for a draw and 16% for Austria Lustenau. The most likely score is 2-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Red Bull Salzburg vs Austria Lustenau?
Red Bull Salzburg starts as the favourite with a 224-point Elo edge (2,092 vs 1,867).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Red Bull Salzburg have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Austria Lustenau have 6, 5 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 20, 2026 | Mjallby AIF(away) | 1-0 | UEFA Europa League |
| Aug 16, 2026 | WSG Wattens(away) | 3-0 | Bundesliga |
| Aug 13, 2026 | Pafos(away) | 3-3 | UEFA Europa League |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Wolfsberger AC(away) | 1-1 | Bundesliga |
| Aug 6, 2026 | Pafos(home) | 1-0 | UEFA Europa League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Sturm Graz(away) | 1-1 | Bundesliga |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Wolfsberger AC(home) | 2-1 | Bundesliga |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Grazer AK(away) | 1-2 | Bundesliga |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Ried(home) | 1-1 | Bundesliga |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Krems / Rehberg(away) | 1-0 | Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 6 Red Bull Salzburg win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Austria Lustenau win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 24, 2024 | Red Bull Salzburg 7-0 Austria Lustenau | Bundesliga |
| Sep 30, 2023 | Austria Lustenau 0-4 Red Bull Salzburg | Bundesliga |
| Feb 11, 2023 | Red Bull Salzburg 4-0 Austria Lustenau | Bundesliga |
| Aug 27, 2022 | Austria Lustenau 0-6 Red Bull Salzburg | Bundesliga |
| May 29, 2020 | Red Bull Salzburg 5-0 Austria Lustenau | Cup |
| Oct 31, 2018 | Austria Lustenau 0-1 Red Bull Salzburg | Cup |
Last archived meeting: Red Bull Salzburg vs Austria Lustenau on Feb 24, 2024
How many goals should we expect?
Red Bull Salzburg score 1.9 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Austria Lustenau score 1.1 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Red Bull Salzburg | 1.9 | 1.2 | 5 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
| Austria Lustenau | 1.1 | 0.9 | 5 | 7/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Red Bull Salzburg sit 4th in Bundesliga (7 points from 3 matches) and Austria Lustenau sit 5th (5 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Red Bull Salzburg | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 7 |
| 5 | Austria Lustenau | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 5 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Red Bull Salzburg vs Austria Lustenau?
- The Footlab model makes Red Bull Salzburg the favourite at 62%, against 22% for a draw and 16% for Austria Lustenau.
- Where and when is Red Bull Salzburg vs Austria Lustenau played?
- Red Bull Salzburg vs Austria Lustenau is played on October 31, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Red Bull Arena, in the Bundesliga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.