Austria Lustenau vs Rapid Vienna: prediction and stats
BundesligaRegular Season - 14Kick-off on November 28, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Planet Pure Stadion, Lustenau
The Footlab model makes Rapid Vienna the favourite at 45%, against 27% for a draw and 28% for Austria Lustenau. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Austria Lustenau vs Rapid Vienna?
Rapid Vienna starts as the favourite with a 179-point Elo edge (2,022 vs 1,842).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Austria Lustenau have 6 wins, 5 draws and 4 defeats; Rapid Vienna have 12, 3 and 0.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Sturm Graz(away) | 1-1 | Bundesliga |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Wolfsberger AC(home) | 2-1 | Bundesliga |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Grazer AK(away) | 1-2 | Bundesliga |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Ried(home) | 1-1 | Bundesliga |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Krems / Rehberg(away) | 1-0 | Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 20, 2026 | Heart Of Midlothian(away) | 2-2 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Grazer AK(home) | 8-0 | Bundesliga |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Paide(home) | 2-0 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Ried(away) | 2-1 | Bundesliga |
| Aug 6, 2026 | Paide(away) | 4-1 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 0 Austria Lustenau win(s), 3 draw(s), 1 Rapid Vienna win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 3, 2024 | Rapid Vienna 1-1 Austria Lustenau | Bundesliga |
| Oct 7, 2023 | Austria Lustenau 0-5 Rapid Vienna | Bundesliga |
| Oct 29, 2022 | Austria Lustenau 3-3 Rapid Vienna | Bundesliga |
| Aug 7, 2022 | Rapid Vienna 1-1 Austria Lustenau | Bundesliga |
Last archived meeting: Rapid Vienna vs Austria Lustenau on Mar 3, 2024
How many goals should we expect?
Austria Lustenau score 1.1 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Rapid Vienna score 3.1 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Austria Lustenau | 1.1 | 0.9 | 5 | 7/15 | 5/15 |
| Rapid Vienna | 3.1 | 0.9 | 5 | 10/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Austria Lustenau sit 5th in Bundesliga (5 points from 4 matches) and Rapid Vienna sit 1st (9 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Rapid Vienna | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 1 | 9 |
| 5 | Austria Lustenau | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 5 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Austria Lustenau vs Rapid Vienna?
- The Footlab model makes Rapid Vienna the favourite at 45%, against 27% for a draw and 28% for Austria Lustenau.
- Where and when is Austria Lustenau vs Rapid Vienna played?
- Austria Lustenau vs Rapid Vienna is played on November 28, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Planet Pure Stadion, in the Bundesliga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.