Match

Wolfsberger AC vs Sturm Graz: prediction and stats

BundesligaRegular Season - 11Kick-off on October 31, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Lavanttal Arena, Wolfsberg

Wolfsberger ACSturm Graz

The Footlab AI model makes Sturm Graz the favourite at 43%, against 26% for a draw and 31% for Wolfsberger AC. The most likely score is 1-1. If Sturm Graz wins, the most likely score is 1-2.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 2,857 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 20, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Wolfsberger AC vs Sturm Graz?

Sturm Graz starts as the favourite with a 196-point Elo edge (2,080 vs 1,884).

31%26%43%
Wolfsberger AC winDrawSturm Graz win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Wolfsberger AC vs Sturm Graz

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Wolfsberger AC

4-1-3-2
  1. 23P. Verhounig
  2. 9G. Vrioni
  1. 30M. Sulzner
  2. 36D. Fitz
  3. 34E. Agyemang
  4. 77R. Renner
  1. 31F. Wohlmuth
  2. 15Cheikh Mamadou Diabaté
  3. 8S. Piesinger
  4. 11A. Schwarz
  1. 1L. Gütlbauer

Sturm Graz

3-4-2-1
  1. 14O. Diakité
  1. 4J. Gorenc Stankovič
  2. 19S. Seidl
  3. 78V. Matoshi
  4. 27L. Balbo
  5. 28J. Heil
  6. 39Luca Weinhandl
  1. 2J. Quarshie
  2. 23A. Malic
  3. 30P. Koller
  1. 53D. Khudyakov

Computed on October 20, 2026 at 07:18 AM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Wolfsberger AC have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Sturm Graz have 7, 3 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Wolfsberger AC
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 18, 2026WSG Wattens(home)0-2Bundesliga
Oct 11, 2026SCR Altach(away)0-3Bundesliga
Oct 2, 2026Voitsberg(home)2-1Friendlies Clubs
Sep 20, 2026Ried(away)1-4Bundesliga
Sep 12, 2026Rapid Vienna(home)0-3Bundesliga
Sturm Graz
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 18, 2026Grazer AK(home)6-1Bundesliga
Oct 15, 2026Bournemouth(away)0-3UEFA Europa League
Oct 10, 2026Austria Vienna(away)2-0Bundesliga
Oct 2, 2026Floridsdorfer AC(home)3-1Friendlies Clubs
Sep 20, 2026Red Bull Salzburg(away)0-3Bundesliga

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Wolfsberger AC wins, 3 draws, 0 Sturm Graz wins.

DateScoreCompetition
Mar 1, 2026Wolfsberger AC 2-2 Sturm GrazBundesliga
Oct 26, 2025Sturm Graz 1-3 Wolfsberger ACBundesliga
May 24, 2025Sturm Graz 1-1 Wolfsberger ACBundesliga
Mar 30, 2025Wolfsberger AC 1-1 Sturm GrazBundesliga
Feb 15, 2025Wolfsberger AC 3-0 Sturm GrazBundesliga
Sep 22, 2024Sturm Graz 0-3 Wolfsberger ACBundesliga

Last archived meeting: Wolfsberger AC vs Sturm Graz on Mar 1, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Wolfsberger AC score 1.8 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Sturm Graz score 1.5 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Wolfsberger AC1.81.639/1511/15
Sturm Graz1.51.247/157/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Wolfsberger AC sit 12th in Bundesliga (5 points from 9 matches) and Sturm Graz sit 4th (17 points from 9 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
4Sturm Graz9522161017
12Wolfsberger AC91267185

A question about Wolfsberger AC vs Sturm Graz?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

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Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Wolfsberger AC vs Sturm Graz?
The Footlab AI model makes Sturm Graz the favourite at 43%, against 26% for a draw and 31% for Wolfsberger AC.
Where and when is Wolfsberger AC vs Sturm Graz played?
Wolfsberger AC vs Sturm Graz is played on October 31, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Lavanttal Arena, in the Bundesliga.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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