Reggiana vs Spezia: prediction and stats
Serie C - Girone BGirone B - 8Kick-off on October 4, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)MAPEI Stadium - Città del Tricolore, Reggio Emilia
The Footlab model makes Spezia the favourite at 44%, against 28% for a draw and 28% for Reggiana. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Reggiana vs Spezia?
A very open match: only 66 Elo points separate Reggiana (1,743) and Spezia (1,809).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Reggiana have 3 wins, 4 draws and 8 defeats; Spezia have 3, 6 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 24, 2026 | Ravenna(home) | 1-1 | Serie C - Girone B |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Livorno(away) | 1-3 | Coppa Italia Serie C |
| May 8, 2026 | Sampdoria(home) | 1-0 | Serie B |
| May 1, 2026 | Modena(away) | 1-2 | Serie B |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Palermo(home) | 1-1 | Serie B |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Grosseto(away) | 1-1 | Serie C - Girone B |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Torres(home) | 4-1 | Coppa Italia Serie C |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Empoli(away) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 8, 2026 | Pescara(away) | 1-1 | Serie B |
| May 1, 2026 | Venezia(home) | 2-2 | Serie B |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Reggiana win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 Spezia win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 28, 2026 | Spezia 0-1 Reggiana | Serie B |
| Sep 30, 2025 | Reggiana 1-1 Spezia | Serie B |
| May 4, 2025 | Reggiana 2-1 Spezia | Serie B |
| Oct 5, 2024 | Spezia 1-0 Reggiana | Serie B |
| Mar 16, 2024 | Reggiana 0-0 Spezia | Serie B |
| Sep 23, 2023 | Spezia 1-2 Reggiana | Serie B |
How many goals should we expect?
Reggiana score 0.7 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Spezia score 1.7 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 46% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Reggiana | 0.7 | 1.7 | 4 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
| Spezia | 1.7 | 1.9 | 0 | 12/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Reggiana sit 12th in Serie C - Girone B (1 points from 1 matches) and Spezia sit 10th (1 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Spezia | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 12 | Reggiana | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Reggiana vs Spezia?
- The Footlab model makes Spezia the favourite at 44%, against 28% for a draw and 28% for Reggiana.
- Where and when is Reggiana vs Spezia played?
- Reggiana vs Spezia is played on October 4, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at MAPEI Stadium - Città del Tricolore, in the Serie C - Girone B.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 46% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.