Olimpia Grudziądz vs Avia Świdnik: prediction and stats
II Liga - EastRegular Season - 18Kick-off on November 28, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Miejski im. Bronisława Malinowskiego, Grudziądz
The Footlab model makes Olimpia Grudziądz the favourite at 38%, against 25% for a draw and 37% for Avia Świdnik. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Olimpia Grudziądz vs Avia Świdnik?
A very open match: only 43 Elo points separate Olimpia Grudziądz (1,924) and Avia Świdnik (1,966).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Olimpia Grudziądz have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; Avia Świdnik have 10, 3 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Rekord Bielsko-Biała(away) | 2-1 | II Liga - East |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Znicz Pruszków(away) | 1-0 | II Liga - East |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Tychy 71(away) | 1-1 | II Liga - East |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Świt Skolwin(home) | 5-3 | Cup |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Lechia Zielona Góra(away) | 2-2 | II Liga - East |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Zawisza Bydgoszcz(home) | 1-4 | II Liga - East |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Stal Stalowa Wola(away) | 0-4 | II Liga - East |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Sandecja Nowy Sącz(home) | 3-0 | II Liga - East |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Górnik Łęczna(away) | 1-0 | II Liga - East |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Olimpia Grudziądz(home) | 4-1 | II Liga - East |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 0 Olimpia Grudziądz win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Avia Świdnik win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 26, 2026 | Avia Świdnik 4-1 Olimpia Grudziądz | II Liga - East |
Last archived meeting: Avia Świdnik vs Olimpia Grudziądz on Jul 26, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Olimpia Grudziądz score 1.9 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Avia Świdnik score 2.1 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 59% probability of over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Olimpia Grudziądz | 1.9 | 1.5 | 4 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
| Avia Świdnik | 2.1 | 1.1 | 5 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Olimpia Grudziądz sit 7th in II Liga - East (8 points from 5 matches) and Avia Świdnik sit 5th (9 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Avia Świdnik | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 9 | 9 |
| 7 | Olimpia Grudziądz | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 8 | 8 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Olimpia Grudziądz vs Avia Świdnik?
- The Footlab model makes Olimpia Grudziądz the favourite at 38%, against 25% for a draw and 37% for Avia Świdnik.
- Where and when is Olimpia Grudziądz vs Avia Świdnik played?
- Olimpia Grudziądz vs Avia Świdnik is played on November 28, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Miejski im. Bronisława Malinowskiego, in the II Liga - East.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Nov 28, 2026Tychy 71vsChojniczanka Chojnice
- Nov 28, 2026Górnik ŁęcznavsŚwit Skolwin
- Nov 28, 2026Hutnik KrakówvsSandecja Nowy Sącz
- Nov 28, 2026Rekord Bielsko-BiałavsLechia Zielona Góra
- Nov 28, 2026Resovia RzeszówvsZnicz Pruszków
- Nov 28, 2026Stal Stalowa WolavsLegia Warszawa II
- Nov 28, 2026Śląsk Wrocław IIvsPodhale Nowy Targ
- Nov 28, 2026Sokół KleczewvsZawisza Bydgoszcz