Resistencia vs Cerro Porteno: prediction and stats
Copa ParaguayRound of 32Kick-off on August 27, 2026 at 09:30 PM (UTC)Estadio Tomás Beggan Correa, Asunción
The Footlab model makes Cerro Porteno the favourite at 73%, against 18% for a draw and 9% for Resistencia. The most likely score is 0-2.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Resistencia vs Cerro Porteno?
Cerro Porteno starts as the favourite with a 276-point Elo edge (1,855 vs 1,579).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Resistencia have 6 wins, 6 draws and 3 defeats; Cerro Porteno have 6, 2 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | SOL DE America(away) | 0-0 | Division Intermedia |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Deportivo Capiata(home) | 1-0 | Division Intermedia |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Independiente F.b.c.(away) | 1-1 | Division Intermedia |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Tacuary(home) | 3-1 | Division Intermedia |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Atlético Tembetary(away) | 1-0 | Division Intermedia |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Olimpia(away) | 1-2 | Division Profesional - Clausura |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Palmeiras(home) | 0-1 | CONMEBOL Libertadores |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Club Sp. San Lorenzo(home) | 1-0 | Division Profesional - Clausura |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Palmeiras(away) | 1-1 | CONMEBOL Libertadores |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Sportivo Ameliano(away) | 0-1 | Division Profesional - Clausura |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Resistencia win(s), 1 draw(s), 5 Cerro Porteno win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 21, 2023 | Cerro Porteno 4-1 Resistencia | Division Profesional - Clausura |
| Jul 30, 2023 | Resistencia 0-1 Cerro Porteno | Division Profesional - Clausura |
| May 7, 2023 | Resistencia 1-2 Cerro Porteno | Division Profesional - Apertura |
| Feb 24, 2023 | Cerro Porteno 1-1 Resistencia | Division Profesional - Apertura |
| Nov 6, 2022 | Cerro Porteno 1-0 Resistencia | Division Profesional - Clausura |
| Sep 9, 2022 | Resistencia 0-2 Cerro Porteno | Division Profesional - Clausura |
Last archived meeting: Cerro Porteno vs Resistencia on Oct 21, 2023
How many goals should we expect?
Resistencia score 1.1 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Cerro Porteno score 1.1 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 45% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Resistencia | 1.1 | 1.0 | 6 | 7/15 | 5/15 |
| Cerro Porteno | 1.1 | 0.9 | 7 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Resistencia vs Cerro Porteno?
- The Footlab model makes Cerro Porteno the favourite at 73%, against 18% for a draw and 9% for Resistencia.
- Where and when is Resistencia vs Cerro Porteno played?
- Resistencia vs Cerro Porteno is played on August 27, 2026 at 09:30 PM (UTC) at Estadio Tomás Beggan Correa, in the Copa Paraguay.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Aug 11, 20264 de Mayo3-2Fulgencio Yegros
- Aug 11, 2026Independiente F.b.c.1-0Sportivo Ameliano
- Aug 12, 202629 de Setiembre1-1Club Sp. San Lorenzo
- Aug 12, 2026Sportivo Iteno2-1Club Guarani
- Aug 13, 20261 de Marzo Pilar2-3Atlético Tembetary
- Aug 18, 2026Benjamín Aceval0-2Nacional Asuncion
- Aug 19, 2026Deportivo Obrero0-3Fernando De La Mora
- Aug 19, 2026Paraguari AC0-2Sportivo Luqueno