Cerro Porteno vs Libertad Asuncion: prediction and stats
Division Profesional - ClausuraClausura - 7Kick-off on August 30, 2026 at 07:00 PM (UTC)Estadio ueno La Nueva Olla, Asunción
The Footlab model makes Cerro Porteno the favourite at 44%, against 27% for a draw and 29% for Libertad Asuncion. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Cerro Porteno vs Libertad Asuncion?
A very open match: only 94 Elo points separate Cerro Porteno (1,855) and Libertad Asuncion (1,762).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Cerro Porteno have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Libertad Asuncion have 7, 2 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 19, 2026 | Palmeiras(home) | 0-1 | CONMEBOL Libertadores |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Club Sp. San Lorenzo(home) | 1-0 | Division Profesional - Clausura |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Palmeiras(away) | 1-1 | CONMEBOL Libertadores |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Sportivo Ameliano(away) | 0-1 | Division Profesional - Clausura |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Sportivo Luqueno(home) | 3-0 | Division Profesional - Clausura |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 20, 2026 | Tacuary(away) | 0-0 | Copa Paraguay |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Sportivo Luqueno(away) | 2-1 | Division Profesional - Clausura |
| Aug 10, 2026 | Sportivo Trinidense(home) | 2-1 | Division Profesional - Clausura |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Club Guarani(away) | 1-2 | Division Profesional - Clausura |
| Jul 30, 2026 | Deportivo Recoleta(home) | 4-1 | Division Profesional - Clausura |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Cerro Porteno win(s), 3 draw(s), 1 Libertad Asuncion win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 21, 2026 | Libertad Asuncion 2-3 Cerro Porteno | Division Profesional - Apertura |
| Jan 24, 2026 | Cerro Porteno 1-1 Libertad Asuncion | Division Profesional - Apertura |
| Nov 23, 2025 | Cerro Porteno 1-0 Libertad Asuncion | Division Profesional - Clausura |
| Aug 31, 2025 | Libertad Asuncion 1-1 Cerro Porteno | Division Profesional - Clausura |
| Apr 5, 2025 | Libertad Asuncion 1-0 Cerro Porteno | Division Profesional - Apertura |
| Jan 26, 2025 | Cerro Porteno 2-2 Libertad Asuncion | Division Profesional - Apertura |
Last archived meeting: Libertad Asuncion vs Cerro Porteno on Mar 21, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Cerro Porteno score 1.1 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Libertad Asuncion score 1.7 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 49% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cerro Porteno | 1.1 | 0.9 | 7 | 6/15 | 5/15 |
| Libertad Asuncion | 1.7 | 1.3 | 4 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Cerro Porteno sit 7th in Division Profesional - Clausura (6 points from 5 matches) and Libertad Asuncion sit 2nd (12 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Libertad Asuncion | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 5 | 12 |
| 7 | Cerro Porteno | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 6 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Cerro Porteno vs Libertad Asuncion?
- The Footlab model makes Cerro Porteno the favourite at 44%, against 27% for a draw and 29% for Libertad Asuncion.
- Where and when is Cerro Porteno vs Libertad Asuncion played?
- Cerro Porteno vs Libertad Asuncion is played on August 30, 2026 at 07:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio ueno La Nueva Olla, in the Division Profesional - Clausura.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.