Retrô vs ASA: result 3-3 and analysis
Serie DRegular Season - 6Kick-off on July 11, 2021 at 07:00 PM (UTC)Itaipava Arena Pernambuco, Recife, Pernambuco
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What was the result of Retrô vs ASA?
Retrô and ASA drew 3-3 on July 11, 2021.
Goalscorers
- 11′Marcos AntônioASA
- 28′OtávioRetrô
- 29′Gustavo CustódioRetrô
- 32′Gustavo CustódioRetrô
- 45′Zé WilsonASA
- 90′Zé WilsonASA (pen.)
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Retrô have 6 wins, 2 draws and 7 defeats; ASA have 5, 5 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 4, 2021 | Juazeirense(home) | 0-0 | Serie D |
| Jun 27, 2021 | Bahia de Feira(away) | 1-1 | Serie D |
| Jun 20, 2021 | Atlético Alagoinhas(home) | 3-1 | Serie D |
| Jun 13, 2021 | Sergipe(away) | 0-1 | Serie D |
| Jun 6, 2021 | Murici Fc(home) | 1-0 | Serie D |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 3, 2021 | Sergipe(home) | 1-3 | Serie D |
| Jun 27, 2021 | AO Itabaiana(home) | 0-2 | Serie D |
| Jun 19, 2021 | Murici Fc(away) | 1-0 | Serie D |
| Jun 13, 2021 | Juazeirense(away) | 0-2 | Serie D |
| Jun 6, 2021 | Atlético Alagoinhas(home) | 0-0 | Serie D |
How many goals should we expect?
Retrô score 1.5 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; ASA score 1.1 and concede 1.0.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Retrô | 1.5 | 1.1 | 4 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
| ASA | 1.1 | 1.0 | 7 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Retrô sit 5th in Serie D (12 points from 10 matches) and ASA sit 3rd (16 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | ASA | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 11 | 7 | 16 |
| 5 | Retrô | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 13 | 15 | 12 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy