Match

Richards Bay vs Mamelodi Sundowns: prediction and stats

Premier Soccer LeagueRegular Season - 8Kick-off on October 17, 2026 at 06:15 PM (UTC)King Goodwill Zwelithini Stadium, Durban, KN

Richards BayMamelodi Sundowns

The Footlab AI model makes Mamelodi Sundowns the favourite at 68%, against 20% for a draw and 12% for Richards Bay. The most likely score is 0-2.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 1,754 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 9, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Richards Bay vs Mamelodi Sundowns?

Mamelodi Sundowns is a heavy favourite: 2,068 Elo points against 1,695, a 373-point gap.

12%20%68%
Richards Bay winDrawMamelodi Sundowns win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Richards Bay vs Mamelodi Sundowns

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Richards Bay

4-1-4-1
  1. 27N. Xulu
  1. 20M. Mthembu
  2. 77L. Khumalo
  3. 30S. Barns
  4. 19S. Nzama
  5. 8L. Zikhali
  1. 25S. Mcineka
  2. 5T. Sikhakhane
  3. 22L. Mabuya
  4. 3S. Khumalo
  1. 32S. Mtshali

Mamelodi Sundowns

4-2-3-1
  1. 12B. León
  1. 4T. Mokoena
  2. 17T. Matthews
  3. 11M. Allende
  4. 43K. Letlhaku
  5. 33C. Mailula
  1. 3K. Ndamane
  2. 20G. Kekana
  3. 27T. Morena
  4. 23F. Basadien
  1. 30R. Williams

Known absences

  • T. ZwaneOut · Suspended (red card)

Computed on October 9, 2026 at 12:53 AM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Richards Bay have 2 wins, 8 draws and 5 defeats; Mamelodi Sundowns have 10, 4 and 1.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Richards Bay
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Sep 19, 2026Sekhukhune United(home)2-3Premier Soccer League
Sep 13, 2026Milford FC(away)1-5Premier Soccer League
Sep 4, 2026Amazulu(home)1-2Premier Soccer League
Aug 26, 2026Kaizer Chiefs(home)2-2Premier Soccer League
Aug 15, 2026Durban City(away)1-1Premier Soccer League
Mamelodi Sundowns
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Sep 19, 2026Al-Ahli Jeddah(home)2-1FIFA Intercontinental Cup
Sep 12, 2026Chippa United(away)1-1Premier Soccer League
Sep 9, 2026Siwelele(home)3-0Premier Soccer League
Sep 6, 2026Golden Arrows(away)2-1Premier Soccer League
Sep 2, 2026Milford FC(home)2-0Premier Soccer League

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Richards Bay wins, 1 draw, 5 Mamelodi Sundowns wins.

DateScoreCompetition
Apr 26, 2026Richards Bay 0-0 Mamelodi SundownsPremier Soccer League
Sep 27, 2025Mamelodi Sundowns 4-1 Richards BayPremier Soccer League
Aug 3, 2025Mamelodi Sundowns 4-0 Richards Bay8 Cup
Apr 30, 2025Mamelodi Sundowns 3-0 Richards BayPremier Soccer League
Dec 28, 2024Richards Bay 0-2 Mamelodi SundownsPremier Soccer League
Apr 2, 2024Mamelodi Sundowns 1-0 Richards BayPremier Soccer League

Last archived meeting: Richards Bay vs Mamelodi Sundowns on Apr 26, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Richards Bay score 1.1 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Mamelodi Sundowns score 2.1 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 55% probability of over 2.5 goals and 48% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Richards Bay1.11.5311/157/15
Mamelodi Sundowns2.11.1311/158/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Richards Bay sit 14th in Premier Soccer League (3 points from 7 matches) and Mamelodi Sundowns sit 1st (20 points from 8 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
1Mamelodi Sundowns862019720
14Richards Bay70349163

A question about Richards Bay vs Mamelodi Sundowns?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

Ask the AI a questionOpen the full match card in the app

Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Richards Bay vs Mamelodi Sundowns?
The Footlab AI model makes Mamelodi Sundowns the favourite at 68%, against 20% for a draw and 12% for Richards Bay.
Where and when is Richards Bay vs Mamelodi Sundowns played?
Richards Bay vs Mamelodi Sundowns is played on October 17, 2026 at 06:15 PM (UTC) at King Goodwill Zwelithini Stadium, in the Premier Soccer League.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Richards Bay and Mamelodi Sundowns

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