Marumo Gallants vs Richards Bay: prediction and stats
Premier Soccer LeagueRegular Season - 11Kick-off on November 29, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Thohoyandou Stadium, Thohoyandou
The Footlab model makes Marumo Gallants the favourite at 36%, against 32% for a draw and 32% for Richards Bay. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Marumo Gallants vs Richards Bay?
A very open match: only 51 Elo points separate Marumo Gallants (1,659) and Richards Bay (1,710).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Marumo Gallants have 1 wins, 8 draws and 6 defeats; Richards Bay have 3, 7 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 19, 2026 | Mamelodi Sundowns(away) | 0-2 | Premier Soccer League |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Stellenbosch(away) | 1-3 | Premier Soccer League |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Kruger United(home) | 0-0 | Premier Soccer League |
| May 23, 2026 | Stellenbosch(home) | 0-0 | Premier Soccer League |
| May 16, 2026 | Polokwane City(away) | 1-1 | Premier Soccer League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Durban City(away) | 1-1 | Premier Soccer League |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Chippa United(away) | 1-1 | Premier Soccer League |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Polokwane City(home) | 1-2 | Premier Soccer League |
| May 23, 2026 | Magesi(away) | 0-1 | Premier Soccer League |
| May 16, 2026 | Sekhukhune United(home) | 1-1 | Premier Soccer League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Marumo Gallants win(s), 3 draw(s), 2 Richards Bay win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 9, 2026 | Marumo Gallants 1-1 Richards Bay | Premier Soccer League |
| Aug 9, 2025 | Richards Bay 1-2 Marumo Gallants | Premier Soccer League |
| Feb 4, 2025 | Richards Bay 2-1 Marumo Gallants | Premier Soccer League |
| Jan 4, 2025 | Marumo Gallants 0-0 Richards Bay | Premier Soccer League |
| Jan 14, 2023 | Marumo Gallants 0-2 Richards Bay | Premier Soccer League |
| Aug 9, 2022 | Richards Bay 0-0 Marumo Gallants | Premier Soccer League |
Last archived meeting: Marumo Gallants vs Richards Bay on May 9, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Marumo Gallants score 0.7 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Richards Bay score 0.8 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 34% probability of over 2.5 goals and 42% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marumo Gallants | 0.7 | 1.3 | 4 | 8/15 | 5/15 |
| Richards Bay | 0.8 | 1.0 | 4 | 8/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Marumo Gallants sit 16th in Premier Soccer League (1 points from 3 matches) and Richards Bay sit 11th (2 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Richards Bay | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 2 |
| 16 | Marumo Gallants | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Marumo Gallants vs Richards Bay?
- The Footlab model makes Marumo Gallants the favourite at 36%, against 32% for a draw and 32% for Richards Bay.
- Where and when is Marumo Gallants vs Richards Bay played?
- Marumo Gallants vs Richards Bay is played on November 29, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Thohoyandou Stadium, in the Premier Soccer League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 34% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.