Marumo Gallants vs Richards Bay: prediction and stats
Premier Soccer LeagueRegular Season - 11Kick-off on November 29, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Thohoyandou Stadium, Thohoyandou
The Footlab AI model makes Marumo Gallants the favourite at 34%, against 32% for a draw and 34% for Richards Bay. The most likely score is 1-1. If Marumo Gallants wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 53.7% of the 3,754 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 28, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Marumo Gallants vs Richards Bay?
A very open match: only 31 Elo points separate Marumo Gallants (1,649) and Richards Bay (1,680).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Marumo Gallants vs Richards Bay
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Marumo Gallants
4-1-4-1- 38Samkele Sihlali
- 15N. Ndlondlo
- 18M. Ndlovu
- 13K. Ncube
- 8S. Mbhele
- 5D. Manaka
- 3S. Ntiya-Ntiya
- 22M. Rikhotso
- 44M. Sikakane
- 37N. Ralenkoane
- 30E.Lako
Richards Bay
4-3-3- 20M. Mthembu
- 27N. Xulu
- 19S. Nzama
- 77L. Khumalo
- 12S. Gumbi
- 8L. Zikhali
- 25S. Mcineka
- 22L. Mabuya
- 37S. Gwele
- 5T. Sikhakhane
- 1Ian Aubrey Otieno
Computed on October 28, 2026 at 04:29 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Marumo Gallants have 0 wins, 8 draws and 7 defeats; Richards Bay have 1, 7 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 27, 2026 | Mamelodi Sundowns(away) | 0-1 | League Cup |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Sekhukhune United(away) | 1-2 | Premier Soccer League |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Orlando Pirates(home) | 0-2 | Premier Soccer League |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Amazulu(away) | 0-1 | Premier Soccer League |
| Sep 4, 2026 | Polokwane City(home) | 2-2 | Premier Soccer League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 25, 2026 | Sekhukhune United(away) | 1-3 | League Cup |
| Oct 13, 2026 | Mamelodi Sundowns(home) | 1-4 | Premier Soccer League |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Sekhukhune United(home) | 2-3 | Premier Soccer League |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Milford FC(away) | 1-5 | Premier Soccer League |
| Sep 4, 2026 | Amazulu(home) | 1-2 | Premier Soccer League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Marumo Gallants win, 3 draws, 2 Richards Bay wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 9, 2026 | Marumo Gallants 1-1 Richards Bay | Premier Soccer League |
| Aug 9, 2025 | Richards Bay 1-2 Marumo Gallants | Premier Soccer League |
| Feb 4, 2025 | Richards Bay 2-1 Marumo Gallants | Premier Soccer League |
| Jan 4, 2025 | Marumo Gallants 0-0 Richards Bay | Premier Soccer League |
| Jan 14, 2023 | Marumo Gallants 0-2 Richards Bay | Premier Soccer League |
| Aug 9, 2022 | Richards Bay 0-0 Marumo Gallants | Premier Soccer League |
Last archived meeting: Marumo Gallants vs Richards Bay on May 9, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Marumo Gallants score 0.7 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Richards Bay score 0.9 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 35% probability of over 2.5 goals and 43% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marumo Gallants | 0.7 | 1.3 | 3 | 8/15 | 4/15 |
| Richards Bay | 0.9 | 1.7 | 3 | 11/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Marumo Gallants sit 16th in Premier Soccer League (2 points from 8 matches) and Richards Bay sit 15th (3 points from 8 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Richards Bay | 8 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 20 | 3 |
| 16 | Marumo Gallants | 8 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 15 | 2 |
A question about Marumo Gallants vs Richards Bay?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Marumo Gallants vs Richards Bay?
- The Footlab AI model makes Marumo Gallants the favourite at 34%, against 32% for a draw and 34% for Richards Bay.
- Where and when is Marumo Gallants vs Richards Bay played?
- Marumo Gallants vs Richards Bay is played on November 29, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Thohoyandou Stadium, in the Premier Soccer League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 35% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 53.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.