Kruger United vs Mamelodi Sundowns: prediction and stats
Premier Soccer LeagueRegular Season - 11Kick-off on November 28, 2026 at 06:15 PM (UTC)Mbombela Stadium, Nelspruit
The Footlab model makes Mamelodi Sundowns the favourite at 49%, against 30% for a draw and 21% for Kruger United. The most likely score is 0-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Kruger United vs Mamelodi Sundowns?
Mamelodi Sundowns is a heavy favourite: 2,047 Elo points against 1,726 — a 320-point gap.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Kruger United have 9 wins, 3 draws and 3 defeats; Mamelodi Sundowns have 8, 5 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Milford FC(away) | 1-2 | Premier Soccer League |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Marumo Gallants(away) | 0-0 | Premier Soccer League |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Kaizer Chiefs(home) | 1-3 | Premier Soccer League |
| May 17, 2026 | The Bees(home) | 2-2 | 1st Division |
| May 10, 2026 | Gomora United FC(away) | 1-0 | 1st Division |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Golden Arrows(home) | 0-1 | 8 Cup |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Marumo Gallants(home) | 2-0 | Premier Soccer League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Kaizer Chiefs(away) | 1-1 | Premier Soccer League |
| Aug 11, 2026 | TS Galaxy(away) | 3-2 | Premier Soccer League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Polokwane City(home) | 3-2 | 8 Cup |
How many goals should we expect?
Kruger United score 1.7 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Mamelodi Sundowns score 2.0 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 36% probability of over 2.5 goals and 41% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kruger United | 1.7 | 1.1 | 5 | 9/15 | 11/15 |
| Mamelodi Sundowns | 2.0 | 1.2 | 4 | 10/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Kruger United sit 15th in Premier Soccer League (1 points from 3 matches) and Mamelodi Sundowns sit 3rd (7 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Mamelodi Sundowns | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 3 | 7 |
| 15 | Kruger United | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Kruger United vs Mamelodi Sundowns?
- The Footlab model makes Mamelodi Sundowns the favourite at 49%, against 30% for a draw and 21% for Kruger United.
- Where and when is Kruger United vs Mamelodi Sundowns played?
- Kruger United vs Mamelodi Sundowns is played on November 28, 2026 at 06:15 PM (UTC) at Mbombela Stadium, in the Premier Soccer League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 36% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.