Kruger United vs Mamelodi Sundowns: prediction and stats
Premier Soccer LeagueRegular Season - 11Kick-off on November 28, 2026 at 06:15 PM (UTC)Mbombela Stadium, Nelspruit
The Footlab AI model makes Mamelodi Sundowns the favourite at 60%, against 26% for a draw and 14% for Kruger United. The most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.1% of the 5,392 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 11, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Kruger United vs Mamelodi Sundowns?
Mamelodi Sundowns is a heavy favourite: 2,032 Elo points against 1,702, a 330-point gap.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Kruger United vs Mamelodi Sundowns
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Kruger United
3-4-3- 10N. Makhubela
- 9W. Makhubu
- 20C. Ngema
- 12B. Malatjie
- 13E. Seedat
- 35M. Matima
- 44T. Tavengwa
- 4S. Sibiya
- 55A. Konqobe
- 27A. Tiwani
- 16M. Dandjinou
Mamelodi Sundowns
4-1-3-2- 33C. Mailula
- 12B. León
- 11M. Allende
- 17T. Matthews
- 15B. Aubaas
- 10Nuno Santos
- 42Malibongwe Khoza
- 3K. Ndamane
- 22T. Matuludi
- 6A. Modiba
- 31R. Goss
Computed on November 11, 2026 at 09:50 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Kruger United have 7 wins, 2 draws and 6 defeats; Mamelodi Sundowns have 11, 3 and 1.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 2026 | Richards Bay(home) | 3-1 | Premier Soccer League |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Amazulu(home) | 0-1 | League Cup |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Chippa United(away) | 1-0 | Premier Soccer League |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Stellenbosch(home) | 0-1 | Premier Soccer League |
| Sep 13, 2026 | TS Galaxy(away) | 1-0 | Premier Soccer League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2026 | USM Alger(home) | 1-3 | CAF Super Cup |
| Nov 3, 2026 | Golden Arrows(home) | 1-0 | League Cup |
| Oct 31, 2026 | Durban City(home) | 4-1 | Premier Soccer League |
| Oct 27, 2026 | Marumo Gallants(home) | 1-0 | League Cup |
| Oct 23, 2026 | Wiliete(home) | 1-1 | CAF Champions League |
How many goals should we expect?
Kruger United score 1.2 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Mamelodi Sundowns score 2.1 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 39% probability of over 2.5 goals and 39% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kruger United | 1.2 | 1.2 | 5 | 6/15 | 8/15 |
| Mamelodi Sundowns | 2.1 | 0.9 | 6 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Kruger United sit 9th in Premier Soccer League (10 points from 9 matches) and Mamelodi Sundowns sit 1st (26 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mamelodi Sundowns | 10 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 27 | 9 | 26 |
| 9 | Kruger United | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 13 | 10 |
A question about Kruger United vs Mamelodi Sundowns?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Kruger United vs Mamelodi Sundowns?
- The Footlab AI model makes Mamelodi Sundowns the favourite at 60%, against 26% for a draw and 14% for Kruger United.
- Where and when is Kruger United vs Mamelodi Sundowns played?
- Kruger United vs Mamelodi Sundowns is played on November 28, 2026 at 06:15 PM (UTC) at Mbombela Stadium, in the Premier Soccer League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 39% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.1% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.