Match

Richmond Kickers vs Forward Madison: prediction and stats

USL League OneGroup StageKick-off on August 29, 2026 at 11:00 PM (UTC)City Stadium, Richmond, Virginia

Richmond KickersForward Madison

The Footlab model makes Forward Madison the favourite at 47%, against 26% for a draw and 27% for Richmond Kickers. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Richmond Kickers vs Forward Madison?

Forward Madison starts as the favourite with a 182-point Elo edge (1,733 vs 1,552).

Richmond Kickers win27 %
Draw26 %
Forward Madison win47 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Richmond Kickers have 3 wins, 3 draws and 9 defeats; Forward Madison have 9, 3 and 3.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Richmond Kickers
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Portland Hearts of Pine(home)1-1USL League One
Aug 16, 2026Union Omaha(away)1-5USL League One
Aug 5, 2026NY Cosmos(home)2-0USL League One
Aug 1, 2026Alta(home)3-2USL League One
Jul 25, 2026Charlotte Independence(away)1-3USL League One
Forward Madison
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 23, 2026Charlotte Independence(home)1-1USL League One
Aug 16, 2026Portland Hearts of Pine(away)2-1USL League One
Aug 13, 2026Greenville Triumph(home)1-1USL League One
Aug 9, 2026Boise(away)1-2USL League One
Aug 2, 2026Westchester SC(home)2-0USL League One

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Richmond Kickers win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Forward Madison win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Jul 16, 2026Forward Madison 4-0 Richmond KickersUSL League One
Oct 25, 2025Richmond Kickers 5-1 Forward MadisonUSL League One
Sep 13, 2025Forward Madison 1-0 Richmond KickersUSL League One
Mar 29, 2025Richmond Kickers 1-2 Forward MadisonUSL League One
Jul 4, 2024Richmond Kickers 2-1 Forward MadisonUSL League One
Apr 13, 2024Forward Madison 2-2 Richmond KickersUSL League One

Last archived meeting: Forward Madison vs Richmond Kickers on Jul 16, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Richmond Kickers score 0.9 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; Forward Madison score 2.2 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Richmond Kickers0.92.128/158/15
Forward Madison2.21.1310/158/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Richmond Kickers sit 16th in USL League One (19 points from 21 matches) and Forward Madison sit 3rd (40 points from 21 matches).

2026 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
3Forward Madison211245412240
16Richmond Kickers215412204119

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Richmond Kickers vs Forward Madison?
The Footlab model makes Forward Madison the favourite at 47%, against 26% for a draw and 27% for Richmond Kickers.
Where and when is Richmond Kickers vs Forward Madison played?
Richmond Kickers vs Forward Madison is played on August 29, 2026 at 11:00 PM (UTC) at City Stadium, in the USL League One.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Richmond Kickers and Forward Madison

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