Richmond Kickers vs Forward Madison: prediction and stats
USL League OneGroup StageKick-off on August 29, 2026 at 11:00 PM (UTC)City Stadium, Richmond, Virginia
The Footlab model makes Forward Madison the favourite at 47%, against 26% for a draw and 27% for Richmond Kickers. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Richmond Kickers vs Forward Madison?
Forward Madison starts as the favourite with a 182-point Elo edge (1,733 vs 1,552).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Richmond Kickers have 3 wins, 3 draws and 9 defeats; Forward Madison have 9, 3 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Portland Hearts of Pine(home) | 1-1 | USL League One |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Union Omaha(away) | 1-5 | USL League One |
| Aug 5, 2026 | NY Cosmos(home) | 2-0 | USL League One |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Alta(home) | 3-2 | USL League One |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Charlotte Independence(away) | 1-3 | USL League One |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Charlotte Independence(home) | 1-1 | USL League One |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Portland Hearts of Pine(away) | 2-1 | USL League One |
| Aug 13, 2026 | Greenville Triumph(home) | 1-1 | USL League One |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Boise(away) | 1-2 | USL League One |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Westchester SC(home) | 2-0 | USL League One |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Richmond Kickers win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Forward Madison win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 16, 2026 | Forward Madison 4-0 Richmond Kickers | USL League One |
| Oct 25, 2025 | Richmond Kickers 5-1 Forward Madison | USL League One |
| Sep 13, 2025 | Forward Madison 1-0 Richmond Kickers | USL League One |
| Mar 29, 2025 | Richmond Kickers 1-2 Forward Madison | USL League One |
| Jul 4, 2024 | Richmond Kickers 2-1 Forward Madison | USL League One |
| Apr 13, 2024 | Forward Madison 2-2 Richmond Kickers | USL League One |
Last archived meeting: Forward Madison vs Richmond Kickers on Jul 16, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Richmond Kickers score 0.9 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; Forward Madison score 2.2 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Richmond Kickers | 0.9 | 2.1 | 2 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| Forward Madison | 2.2 | 1.1 | 3 | 10/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Richmond Kickers sit 16th in USL League One (19 points from 21 matches) and Forward Madison sit 3rd (40 points from 21 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Forward Madison | 21 | 12 | 4 | 5 | 41 | 22 | 40 |
| 16 | Richmond Kickers | 21 | 5 | 4 | 12 | 20 | 41 | 19 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Richmond Kickers vs Forward Madison?
- The Footlab model makes Forward Madison the favourite at 47%, against 26% for a draw and 27% for Richmond Kickers.
- Where and when is Richmond Kickers vs Forward Madison played?
- Richmond Kickers vs Forward Madison is played on August 29, 2026 at 11:00 PM (UTC) at City Stadium, in the USL League One.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Mar 8, 2026Westchester SC2-3One Knoxville
- Mar 8, 2026Naples2-0Fort Wayne
- Mar 8, 2026Sarasota Paradise0-1Boise
- Mar 8, 2026Alta1-1Richmond Kickers
- Mar 8, 2026TormentavsSpokane Velocity
- Mar 14, 2026NY Cosmos1-3Portland Hearts of Pine
- Mar 14, 2026TormentavsAlta
- Mar 14, 2026Greenville Triumph1-2Chattanooga Red Wolves