Rijnvogels vs Blauw Geel: prediction and stats
Derde DivisieRegular Season - 19Kick-off on January 16, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Sportpark De Kooltuin, Katwijk aan Zee
The Footlab model makes Rijnvogels the favourite at 57%, against 23% for a draw and 20% for Blauw Geel. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Rijnvogels vs Blauw Geel?
A very open match: only 77 Elo points separate Rijnvogels (1,776) and Blauw Geel (1,700).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Rijnvogels have 5 wins, 6 draws and 4 defeats; Blauw Geel have 6, 2 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Blauw Geel(away) | 0-0 | Derde Divisie |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Gemert(home) | 2-2 | Derde Divisie |
| Jun 6, 2026 | Excelsior Maassluis(away) | 1-2 | Tweede Divisie |
| Jun 3, 2026 | Excelsior Maassluis(home) | 2-1 | Tweede Divisie |
| May 30, 2026 | DVS 33 Ermelo(away) | 2-2 | Tweede Divisie |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Rijnvogels(home) | 0-0 | Derde Divisie |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Noordwijk(away) | 0-2 | Derde Divisie |
| May 23, 2026 | Zwaluwen(away) | 0-3 | Derde Divisie - Sunday |
| May 16, 2026 | SVV Scheveningen(home) | 3-2 | Derde Divisie - Sunday |
| May 10, 2026 | Roosendaal(away) | 1-2 | Derde Divisie - Sunday |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 2 Rijnvogels win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 Blauw Geel win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Blauw Geel 0-0 Rijnvogels | Derde Divisie |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Rijnvogels 0-0 Blauw Geel | Derde Divisie - Sunday |
| Nov 15, 2025 | Blauw Geel 1-3 Rijnvogels | Derde Divisie - Sunday |
| Feb 8, 2025 | Rijnvogels 3-2 Blauw Geel | Derde Divisie - Sunday |
| Sep 14, 2024 | Blauw Geel 3-1 Rijnvogels | Derde Divisie - Sunday |
Last archived meeting: Blauw Geel vs Rijnvogels on Aug 23, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Rijnvogels score 1.3 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Blauw Geel score 1.5 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rijnvogels | 1.3 | 1.2 | 4 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
| Blauw Geel | 1.5 | 1.6 | 4 | 7/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Rijnvogels sit 12th in Derde Divisie (2 points from 2 matches) and Blauw Geel sit 14th (1 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Rijnvogels | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 |
| 14 | Blauw Geel | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Rijnvogels vs Blauw Geel?
- The Footlab model makes Rijnvogels the favourite at 57%, against 23% for a draw and 20% for Blauw Geel.
- Where and when is Rijnvogels vs Blauw Geel played?
- Rijnvogels vs Blauw Geel is played on January 16, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Sportpark De Kooltuin, in the Derde Divisie.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.