Excelsior '31 vs Staphorst: prediction and stats
Derde DivisieRegular Season - 19Kick-off on January 16, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Sportpark De Koerbelt, Rijssen
The Footlab AI model makes Excelsior '31 the favourite at 56%, against 22% for a draw and 22% for Staphorst. The most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,366 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Excelsior '31 vs Staphorst?
Excelsior '31 starts as the favourite with a 110-point Elo edge (1,782 vs 1,672).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Excelsior '31 vs Staphorst
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Excelsior '31
Not enough data to predict the Excelsior '31 lineup.
Staphorst
4-3-3- 11S. Haanstra
- 20J. Hooikammer
- 11M. Luchtenberg
- 7D. Schra
- 17M. van 't Ende
- 6R. Crediet
- 4D. Muis
- 15K. Engbers
- 5J. Duit
- 21J. Huizing
- 24A. van Zaltbommel
Computed on October 14, 2026 at 10:45 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Excelsior '31 have 10 wins, 2 draws and 3 defeats; Staphorst have 3, 4 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | ADO '20(away) | 1-3 | Derde Divisie |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Sportlust '46(away) | 3-0 | Derde Divisie |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Dovo(home) | 3-0 | Derde Divisie |
| Sep 22, 2026 | AFC '34(home) | 4-3 | KNVB Beker |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Hoogeveen(away) | 2-0 | Derde Divisie |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Hollandia(away) | 4-2 | Derde Divisie |
| Oct 3, 2026 | TEC(home) | 0-3 | Derde Divisie |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Sparta Nijkerk(away) | 2-3 | Derde Divisie |
| Sep 22, 2026 | SC Genemuiden(home) | 2-3 | KNVB Beker |
| Sep 19, 2026 | ACV(home) | 2-3 | Derde Divisie |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Excelsior '31 wins, 2 draws, 0 Staphorst wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Staphorst 2-4 Excelsior '31 | Derde Divisie |
| May 16, 2026 | Excelsior '31 3-1 Staphorst | Derde Divisie |
| Dec 6, 2025 | Staphorst 1-3 Excelsior '31 | Derde Divisie |
| May 6, 2023 | Excelsior '31 1-1 Staphorst | Derde Divisie |
| Nov 12, 2022 | Staphorst 0-0 Excelsior '31 | Derde Divisie |
| Mar 12, 2022 | Excelsior '31 2-0 Staphorst | Derde Divisie |
Last archived meeting: Staphorst vs Excelsior '31 on Aug 22, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Excelsior '31 score 2.3 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Staphorst score 1.7 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 67% probability of over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Excelsior '31 | 2.3 | 1.1 | 6 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
| Staphorst | 1.7 | 2.1 | 2 | 11/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Excelsior '31 sit 5th in Derde Divisie (19 points from 9 matches) and Staphorst sit 14th (6 points from 9 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Excelsior '31 | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 23 | 9 | 19 |
| 14 | Staphorst | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 14 | 20 | 6 |
A question about Excelsior '31 vs Staphorst?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Excelsior '31 vs Staphorst?
- The Footlab AI model makes Excelsior '31 the favourite at 56%, against 22% for a draw and 22% for Staphorst.
- Where and when is Excelsior '31 vs Staphorst played?
- Excelsior '31 vs Staphorst is played on January 16, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Sportpark De Koerbelt, in the Derde Divisie.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 67% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.