Harkemase Boys vs DVS 33 Ermelo: prediction and stats
Derde DivisieRegular Season - 19Kick-off on January 16, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Sportpark de Bosk, Harkema
The Footlab model makes Harkemase Boys the favourite at 42%, against 25% for a draw and 33% for DVS 33 Ermelo. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Harkemase Boys vs DVS 33 Ermelo?
A very open match: only 8 Elo points separate Harkemase Boys (1,826) and DVS 33 Ermelo (1,818).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Harkemase Boys have 8 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats; DVS 33 Ermelo have 6, 4 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | DVS 33 Ermelo(away) | 1-0 | Derde Divisie |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Hollandia(home) | 2-1 | Derde Divisie |
| May 23, 2026 | Sportlust '46(home) | 4-1 | Derde Divisie |
| May 16, 2026 | Hercules(away) | 0-4 | Derde Divisie |
| May 9, 2026 | ROHDA Raalte(home) | 2-1 | Derde Divisie |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Harkemase Boys(home) | 0-1 | Derde Divisie |
| Aug 15, 2026 | SC Genemuiden(away) | 1-2 | Derde Divisie |
| Aug 8, 2026 | GVVV Veenendaal(away) | 0-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 30, 2026 | Rijnvogels(home) | 2-2 | Tweede Divisie |
| May 27, 2026 | Rijnvogels(away) | 0-1 | Tweede Divisie |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Harkemase Boys win(s), 4 draw(s), 1 DVS 33 Ermelo win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | DVS 33 Ermelo 0-1 Harkemase Boys | Derde Divisie |
| Feb 28, 2026 | Harkemase Boys 2-2 DVS 33 Ermelo | Derde Divisie |
| Sep 27, 2025 | DVS 33 Ermelo 1-1 Harkemase Boys | Derde Divisie |
| Mar 22, 2025 | Harkemase Boys 0-1 DVS 33 Ermelo | Derde Divisie |
| Oct 19, 2024 | DVS 33 Ermelo 1-1 Harkemase Boys | Derde Divisie |
| Mar 2, 2024 | Harkemase Boys 0-0 DVS 33 Ermelo | Derde Divisie |
Last archived meeting: DVS 33 Ermelo vs Harkemase Boys on Aug 22, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Harkemase Boys score 1.4 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; DVS 33 Ermelo score 1.5 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Harkemase Boys | 1.4 | 1.3 | 5 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
| DVS 33 Ermelo | 1.5 | 1.4 | 4 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Harkemase Boys sit 4th in Derde Divisie (6 points from 2 matches) and DVS 33 Ermelo sit 16th (0 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Harkemase Boys | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 6 |
| 16 | DVS 33 Ermelo | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Harkemase Boys vs DVS 33 Ermelo?
- The Footlab model makes Harkemase Boys the favourite at 42%, against 25% for a draw and 33% for DVS 33 Ermelo.
- Where and when is Harkemase Boys vs DVS 33 Ermelo played?
- Harkemase Boys vs DVS 33 Ermelo is played on January 16, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Sportpark de Bosk, in the Derde Divisie.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.