Harkemase Boys vs DVS 33 Ermelo: prediction and stats
Derde DivisieMatchday 19Kick-off on January 16, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Sportpark de Bosk, Harkema
The Footlab AI model makes Harkemase Boys the favourite at 56%, against 22% for a draw and 22% for DVS 33 Ermelo. The most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.1% of the 5,632 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 13, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Harkemase Boys vs DVS 33 Ermelo?
On Elo ratings, Harkemase Boys has 1,900 points and DVS 33 Ermelo 1,822.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Harkemase Boys vs DVS 33 Ermelo
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Harkemase Boys
Not enough data to predict the Harkemase Boys lineup.
DVS 33 Ermelo
3-4-3- 10Stef Nijland
- 7J. van Essen
- 11B. Roemeon
- 6R. Dekker
- 22M. Ahrens
- 3Tim Van de Berg
- 8Maarten van Dijk
- 5R. Baas
- 17Willard Timmerman
- 15T. van Diermen
- 32Largo Karrenbelt
Computed on November 13, 2026 at 08:36 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Harkemase Boys have 9 wins, 2 draws and 4 defeats; DVS 33 Ermelo have 3, 3 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7, 2026 | ADO '20(away) | 1-2 | Derde Divisie |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Excelsior '31(home) | 4-0 | Derde Divisie |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Dovo(away) | 3-2 | Derde Divisie |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Hoogeveen(home) | 2-1 | Derde Divisie |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Purmersteijn(away) | 2-4 | Derde Divisie |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7, 2026 | VV Scherpenzeel(away) | 1-3 | Derde Divisie |
| Oct 24, 2026 | SVZW(home) | 4-3 | Derde Divisie |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Staphorst(away) | 1-2 | Derde Divisie |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Eemdijk(home) | 2-2 | Derde Divisie |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Hercules(away) | 0-1 | Derde Divisie |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Harkemase Boys win, 4 draws, 1 DVS 33 Ermelo win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | DVS 33 Ermelo 0-1 Harkemase Boys | Derde Divisie |
| Feb 28, 2026 | Harkemase Boys 2-2 DVS 33 Ermelo | Derde Divisie |
| Sep 27, 2025 | DVS 33 Ermelo 1-1 Harkemase Boys | Derde Divisie |
| Mar 22, 2025 | Harkemase Boys 0-1 DVS 33 Ermelo | Derde Divisie |
| Oct 19, 2024 | DVS 33 Ermelo 1-1 Harkemase Boys | Derde Divisie |
| Mar 2, 2024 | Harkemase Boys 0-0 DVS 33 Ermelo | Derde Divisie |
Last archived meeting: DVS 33 Ermelo vs Harkemase Boys on Aug 22, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Harkemase Boys score 1.9 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; DVS 33 Ermelo score 1.3 and concede 2.2. The model gives a 67% probability of over 2.5 goals and 65% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Harkemase Boys | 1.9 | 1.5 | 3 | 10/15 | 11/15 |
| DVS 33 Ermelo | 1.3 | 2.2 | 0 | 11/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Harkemase Boys sit 3rd in Derde Divisie (26 points from 12 matches) and DVS 33 Ermelo sit 14th (9 points from 12 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Harkemase Boys | 12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 25 | 16 | 26 |
| 14 | DVS 33 Ermelo | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 18 | 25 | 9 |
A question about Harkemase Boys vs DVS 33 Ermelo?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Harkemase Boys vs DVS 33 Ermelo?
- The Footlab AI model makes Harkemase Boys the favourite at 56%, against 22% for a draw and 22% for DVS 33 Ermelo.
- Where and when is Harkemase Boys vs DVS 33 Ermelo played?
- Harkemase Boys vs DVS 33 Ermelo is played on January 16, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Sportpark de Bosk, in the Derde Divisie.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 67% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.1% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.