Rijnvogels vs Groene Ster: result 5-1 and analysis
Derde DivisieRegular Season - 8Kick-off on October 3, 2026 at 12:30 PM (UTC)Sportpark De Kooltuin, Katwijk aan Zee
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What was the result of Rijnvogels vs Groene Ster?
Rijnvogels won 5-1 on October 3, 2026.
What had the model predicted before the match?
Before kick-off, the Footlab AI model gave a Rijnvogels win at 68%: prediction correct. Most likely score announced: 2-1. Actual score: 5-1.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Rijnvogels have 8 wins, 4 draws and 3 defeats; Groene Ster have 4, 3 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 27, 2026 | UDI '19(away) | 4-0 | Derde Divisie |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Vvsb(home) | 0-1 | KNVB Beker |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Poortugaal(home) | 1-0 | Derde Divisie |
| Sep 13, 2026 | UNA(away) | 4-1 | Derde Divisie |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Dongen(home) | 5-2 | Derde Divisie |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 27, 2026 | Gemert(home) | 1-2 | Derde Divisie |
| Sep 22, 2026 | AFC Amsterdam(home) | 1-6 | KNVB Beker |
| Sep 19, 2026 | EVV(away) | 1-1 | Derde Divisie |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Zwaluwen(home) | 1-0 | Derde Divisie |
| Sep 5, 2026 | TOGB(away) | 3-3 | Derde Divisie |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 2 Rijnvogels wins, 0 draws, 1 Groene Ster win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 28, 2026 | Rijnvogels 3-1 Groene Ster | Derde Divisie - Sunday |
| Sep 28, 2025 | Groene Ster 3-2 Rijnvogels | Derde Divisie - Sunday |
| Aug 17, 2016 | Groene Ster 0-2 Rijnvogels | KNVB Beker |
Last archived meeting: Rijnvogels vs Groene Ster on Feb 28, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Rijnvogels score 2.1 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Groene Ster score 1.6 and concede 2.5.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rijnvogels | 2.1 | 1.1 | 5 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
| Groene Ster | 1.6 | 2.5 | 1 | 13/15 | 13/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Rijnvogels sit 4th in Derde Divisie (23 points from 11 matches) and Groene Ster sit 15th (9 points from 11 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Rijnvogels | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 29 | 13 | 23 |
| 15 | Groene Ster | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 15 | 27 | 9 |
A question about Rijnvogels vs Groene Ster?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy