Dovo vs ADO '20: prediction and stats
Derde DivisieRegular Season - 8Kick-off on October 3, 2026 at 12:30 PM (UTC)Sportpark Panhuis (DOVO), Veenendaal
The Footlab model makes Dovo the favourite at 50%, against 25% for a draw and 25% for ADO '20. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Dovo vs ADO '20?
A very open match: only 41 Elo points separate Dovo (1,804) and ADO '20 (1,763).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Dovo have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; ADO '20 have 8, 2 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | SVZW(away) | 1-1 | Derde Divisie |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Staphorst(home) | 2-2 | Derde Divisie |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Eemdijk(away) | 3-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 23, 2026 | ADO '20(home) | 1-0 | Derde Divisie |
| May 16, 2026 | SC Genemuiden(away) | 6-2 | Derde Divisie |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Eemdijk(away) | 1-4 | Derde Divisie |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Hercules(home) | 3-1 | Derde Divisie |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Koninklijke HFC(home) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jun 6, 2026 | Ijsselmeervogels(away) | 0-1 | Tweede Divisie |
| Jun 3, 2026 | Ijsselmeervogels(home) | 0-7 | Tweede Divisie |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Dovo win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 ADO '20 win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 23, 2026 | Dovo 1-0 ADO '20 | Derde Divisie |
| Dec 13, 2025 | ADO '20 2-0 Dovo | Derde Divisie |
How many goals should we expect?
Dovo score 1.7 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; ADO '20 score 1.2 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 56% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dovo | 1.7 | 1.3 | 4 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
| ADO '20 | 1.2 | 1.3 | 7 | 5/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Dovo sit 12th in Derde Divisie (2 points from 2 matches) and ADO '20 sit 8th (3 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | ADO '20 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 3 |
| 12 | Dovo | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 2 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Dovo vs ADO '20?
- The Footlab model makes Dovo the favourite at 50%, against 25% for a draw and 25% for ADO '20.
- Where and when is Dovo vs ADO '20 played?
- Dovo vs ADO '20 is played on October 3, 2026 at 12:30 PM (UTC) at Sportpark Panhuis (DOVO), in the Derde Divisie.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 56% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.