SVZW vs Sparta Nijkerk: prediction and stats
Derde DivisieRegular Season - 8Kick-off on October 3, 2026 at 12:45 PM (UTC)Sportpark Het Lageveld (SVZW), Wierden
The Footlab model makes Sparta Nijkerk the favourite at 40%, against 23% for a draw and 37% for SVZW. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win SVZW vs Sparta Nijkerk?
A very open match: only 93 Elo points separate SVZW (1,707) and Sparta Nijkerk (1,800).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 5 matches in all competitions, SVZW have 1 wins, 1 draws and 3 defeats; Sparta Nijkerk have 5, 2 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Dovo(home) | 1-1 | Derde Divisie |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Hoogeveen(away) | 3-4 | Derde Divisie |
| Jul 8, 2023 | FC Volendam(home) | 1-6 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 24, 2016 | Jodan Boys(away) | 0-3 | KNVB Beker |
| Aug 17, 2016 | Avanti '31(away) | 2-0 | KNVB Beker |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | TEC(away) | 1-3 | Derde Divisie |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Sportlust '46(home) | 3-3 | Derde Divisie |
| May 30, 2026 | Ijsselmeervogels(away) | 1-2 | Tweede Divisie |
| May 27, 2026 | Ijsselmeervogels(home) | 0-3 | Tweede Divisie |
| May 23, 2026 | Eemdijk(home) | 3-1 | Derde Divisie |
How many goals should we expect?
SVZW score 1.4 and concede 2.8 goals per match over their last 5; Sparta Nijkerk score 1.9 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 72% probability of over 2.5 goals and 72% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SVZW | 1.4 | 2.8 | 1 | 3/5 | 3/5 |
| Sparta Nijkerk | 1.9 | 1.9 | 2 | 10/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 5 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
SVZW sit 13th in Derde Divisie (1 points from 2 matches) and Sparta Nijkerk sit 14th (1 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | SVZW | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 1 |
| 14 | Sparta Nijkerk | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for SVZW vs Sparta Nijkerk?
- The Footlab model makes Sparta Nijkerk the favourite at 40%, against 23% for a draw and 37% for SVZW.
- Where and when is SVZW vs Sparta Nijkerk played?
- SVZW vs Sparta Nijkerk is played on October 3, 2026 at 12:45 PM (UTC) at Sportpark Het Lageveld (SVZW), in the Derde Divisie.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 72% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.