Rijnvogels vs Poortugaal: prediction and stats
Derde DivisieRegular Season - 6Kick-off on September 19, 2026 at 12:30 PM (UTC)Sportpark De Kooltuin, Katwijk aan Zee
The Footlab model makes Rijnvogels the favourite at 48%, against 23% for a draw and 29% for Poortugaal. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Rijnvogels vs Poortugaal?
A very open match: only 80 Elo points separate Rijnvogels (1,790) and Poortugaal (1,710).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Rijnvogels have 5 wins, 6 draws and 4 defeats; Poortugaal have 2, 1 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Blauw Geel(away) | 0-0 | Derde Divisie |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Gemert(home) | 2-2 | Derde Divisie |
| Jun 6, 2026 | Excelsior Maassluis(away) | 1-2 | Tweede Divisie |
| Jun 3, 2026 | Excelsior Maassluis(home) | 2-1 | Tweede Divisie |
| May 30, 2026 | DVS 33 Ermelo(away) | 2-2 | Tweede Divisie |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | TOGB(away) | 3-1 | Derde Divisie |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Vvsb(home) | 0-1 | Derde Divisie |
| Sep 2, 2025 | TEC(away) | 2-3 | KNVB Beker |
| Jun 4, 2025 | FC 's-Gravenzande(away) | 2-2 | Derde Divisie - Relegation Round |
| May 31, 2025 | FC 's-Gravenzande(home) | 0-3 | Derde Divisie - Relegation Round |
How many goals should we expect?
Rijnvogels score 1.3 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Poortugaal score 1.6 and concede 2.0. The model gives a 66% probability of over 2.5 goals and 66% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rijnvogels | 1.3 | 1.2 | 4 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
| Poortugaal | 1.6 | 2.0 | 0 | 5/7 | 6/7 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Rijnvogels sit 12th in Derde Divisie (2 points from 2 matches) and Poortugaal sit 8th (3 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Poortugaal | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 3 |
| 12 | Rijnvogels | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Rijnvogels vs Poortugaal?
- The Footlab model makes Rijnvogels the favourite at 48%, against 23% for a draw and 29% for Poortugaal.
- Where and when is Rijnvogels vs Poortugaal played?
- Rijnvogels vs Poortugaal is played on September 19, 2026 at 12:30 PM (UTC) at Sportpark De Kooltuin, in the Derde Divisie.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 66% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.