Rio Verde vs Bom Jesus EC: prediction and stats
Goiano - 2Regular Season - 15Kick-off on September 27, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC)Estádio Mozart Veloso do Carmo, Rio Verde, Goiás
The Footlab model makes Rio Verde the favourite at 43%, against 29% for a draw and 28% for Bom Jesus EC. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Rio Verde vs Bom Jesus EC?
A very open match: only 10 Elo points separate Rio Verde (1,745) and Bom Jesus EC (1,755).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Rio Verde have 8 wins, 6 draws and 1 defeats; Bom Jesus EC have 11, 4 and 0.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Morrinhos(home) | 1-2 | Goiano - 2 |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Goianésia(home) | 3-0 | Goiano - 2 |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Mineiros(away) | 2-1 | Goiano - 2 |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Bom Jesus EC(away) | 0-0 | Goiano - 2 |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Grêmio Anápolis(home) | 4-1 | Goiano - 2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Goiânia(away) | 1-0 | Goiano - 2 |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Grêmio Anápolis(home) | 2-0 | Goiano - 2 |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Crixás EC(away) | 2-2 | Goiano - 2 |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Rio Verde(home) | 0-0 | Goiano - 2 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Trindade(away) | 2-0 | Goiano - 2 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 0 Rio Verde win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Bom Jesus EC win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 9, 2026 | Bom Jesus EC 0-0 Rio Verde | Goiano - 2 |
Last archived meeting: Bom Jesus EC vs Rio Verde on Aug 9, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Rio Verde score 1.6 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Bom Jesus EC score 2.5 and concede 0.5. The model gives a 43% probability of over 2.5 goals and 48% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rio Verde | 1.6 | 0.7 | 7 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
| Bom Jesus EC | 2.5 | 0.5 | 9 | 6/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Rio Verde sit 1st in Goiano - 2 (16 points from 7 matches) and Bom Jesus EC sit 2nd (15 points from 7 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Rio Verde | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 4 | 16 |
| 2 | Bom Jesus EC | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 9 | 3 | 15 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Rio Verde vs Bom Jesus EC?
- The Footlab model makes Rio Verde the favourite at 43%, against 29% for a draw and 28% for Bom Jesus EC.
- Where and when is Rio Verde vs Bom Jesus EC played?
- Rio Verde vs Bom Jesus EC is played on September 27, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC) at Estádio Mozart Veloso do Carmo, in the Goiano - 2.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 43% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.