Rochdale vs Bury: prediction and stats
League OneRegular Season - 21Kick-off on December 14, 2019 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Crown Oil Arena, Rochdale, Greater Manchester
Match in progress
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Rochdale have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Bury have 6, 4 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 7, 2019 | Rotherham(away) | 1-0 | League One |
| Dec 1, 2019 | Boston United(home) | 0-0 | FA Cup |
| Nov 23, 2019 | Portsmouth(home) | 0-3 | League One |
| Nov 19, 2019 | Wrexham(home) | 1-0 | FA Cup |
| Nov 16, 2019 | Coventry(away) | 1-2 | League One |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 4, 2019 | Port Vale(home) | 1-1 | League Two |
| Apr 30, 2019 | Tranmere(away) | 1-1 | League Two |
| Apr 22, 2019 | Northampton(home) | 3-1 | League Two |
| Apr 19, 2019 | Newport County(away) | 1-3 | League Two |
| Apr 13, 2019 | Colchester(home) | 2-0 | League Two |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 5 Rochdale win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Bury win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 4, 2018 | Rochdale 2-1 Bury | EFL Trophy |
| Apr 3, 2018 | Bury 0-2 Rochdale | League One |
| Sep 19, 2017 | Bury 0-4 Rochdale | EFL Trophy |
| Aug 26, 2017 | Rochdale 0-0 Bury | League One |
| Apr 13, 2017 | Bury 0-1 Rochdale | League One |
| Oct 15, 2016 | Rochdale 2-0 Bury | League One |
How many goals should we expect?
Rochdale score 1.1 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Bury score 1.3 and concede 1.3.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rochdale | 1.1 | 1.2 | 5 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
| Bury | 1.3 | 1.3 | 5 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy