Rochdale vs Morecambe: result 0-1 and analysis
FA Cup1st Round ReplaysKick-off on November 13, 2012 at 07:45 PM (UTC)Crown Oil Arena, Rochdale, Greater Manchester
Full time
What was the result of Rochdale vs Morecambe?
Morecambe won 0-1 on November 13, 2012.
Goalscorers
- 44′Gary McDonaldMorecambe
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Rochdale have 6 wins, 6 draws and 3 defeats; Morecambe have 4, 4 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 10, 2012 | Wycombe(away) | 2-1 | League Two |
| Nov 6, 2012 | Port Vale(away) | 2-2 | League Two |
| Nov 3, 2012 | Morecambe(away) | 1-1 | FA Cup |
| Oct 27, 2012 | Fleetwood Town(home) | 0-0 | League Two |
| Oct 23, 2012 | Oxford United(home) | 2-0 | League Two |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 10, 2012 | Barnet(home) | 4-1 | League Two |
| Nov 6, 2012 | Accrington ST(home) | 0-0 | League Two |
| Nov 3, 2012 | Rochdale(home) | 1-1 | FA Cup |
| Oct 27, 2012 | Torquay(away) | 0-1 | League Two |
| Oct 23, 2012 | Rotherham(away) | 1-2 | League Two |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Rochdale win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Morecambe win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 3, 2012 | Morecambe 1-1 Rochdale | FA Cup |
| Oct 13, 2012 | Rochdale 1-2 Morecambe | League Two |
How many goals should we expect?
Rochdale score 1.5 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Morecambe score 1.1 and concede 1.5.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rochdale | 1.5 | 1.3 | 3 | 11/15 | 9/15 |
| Morecambe | 1.1 | 1.5 | 5 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy