Rochefort vs Meux: prediction and stats
First Amateur DivisionACFF - 18Kick-off on January 9, 2027 at 07:00 PM (UTC)Parc des Roches, Rochefort
The Footlab model makes Meux the favourite at 44%, against 23% for a draw and 33% for Rochefort. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Rochefort vs Meux?
A very open match: only 97 Elo points separate Rochefort (1,803) and Meux (1,900).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Rochefort have 4 wins, 3 draws and 8 defeats; Meux have 7, 3 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 1, 2026 | Excelsior Virton(home) | 2-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 4, 2026 | RAAL La Louvière(away) | 3-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 10, 2026 | Tubize(away) | 2-3 | First Amateur Division |
| May 3, 2026 | Excelsior Virton(home) | 3-5 | First Amateur Division |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Habay-la-Neuve(home) | 4-1 | First Amateur Division |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 29, 2026 | Huy(away) | 3-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 10, 2026 | Albert Quévy-Mons(away) | 0-3 | First Amateur Division |
| May 3, 2026 | Tubize(home) | 2-2 | First Amateur Division |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Excelsior Virton(away) | 0-2 | First Amateur Division |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Rochefort(home) | 3-0 | First Amateur Division |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Rochefort win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Meux win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 18, 2026 | Meux 3-0 Rochefort | First Amateur Division |
| Mar 21, 2026 | Rochefort 0-1 Meux | First Amateur Division |
| Dec 13, 2025 | Meux 0-1 Rochefort | First Amateur Division |
| Oct 4, 2025 | Rochefort 0-3 Meux | First Amateur Division |
| Apr 13, 2024 | Rochefort 1-1 Meux | Second Amateur Division - ACFF |
| Oct 28, 2023 | Meux 1-4 Rochefort | Second Amateur Division - ACFF |
How many goals should we expect?
Rochefort score 1.5 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; Meux score 1.9 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 68% probability of over 2.5 goals and 69% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rochefort | 1.5 | 1.8 | 2 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
| Meux | 1.9 | 1.3 | 6 | 6/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Rochefort sit 6th in First Amateur Division (6 points from 6 matches) and Meux sit 1st (12 points from 4 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Meux | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 2 | 12 |
| 6 | Rochefort | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 16 | 6 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Rochefort vs Meux?
- The Footlab model makes Meux the favourite at 44%, against 23% for a draw and 33% for Rochefort.
- Where and when is Rochefort vs Meux played?
- Rochefort vs Meux is played on January 9, 2027 at 07:00 PM (UTC) at Parc des Roches, in the First Amateur Division.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 68% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.