Rochefort vs Sporting Charleroi II: prediction and stats
First Amateur DivisionACFF - 5Kick-off on September 19, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC)Parc des Roches, Rochefort
The Footlab model makes Rochefort the favourite at 58%, against 21% for a draw and 21% for Sporting Charleroi II. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Rochefort vs Sporting Charleroi II?
Rochefort starts as the favourite with a 121-point Elo edge (1,804 vs 1,683).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Rochefort have 4 wins, 3 draws and 8 defeats; Sporting Charleroi II have 4, 2 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 1, 2026 | Excelsior Virton(home) | 2-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 4, 2026 | RAAL La Louvière(away) | 3-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 10, 2026 | Tubize(away) | 2-3 | First Amateur Division |
| May 3, 2026 | Excelsior Virton(home) | 3-5 | First Amateur Division |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Habay-la-Neuve(home) | 4-1 | First Amateur Division |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 15, 2026 | Kortrijk U21(home) | 0-2 | Reserve Pro League |
| May 10, 2026 | Union Namur(away) | 1-3 | First Amateur Division |
| May 8, 2026 | Francs Borains U21(away) | 5-2 | Reserve Pro League |
| May 3, 2026 | Standard Liège II(home) | 0-2 | First Amateur Division |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Stockay-Warfusée(away) | 1-0 | First Amateur Division |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 0 Rochefort win(s), 3 draw(s), 1 Sporting Charleroi II win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Dec 6, 2025 | Rochefort 1-1 Sporting Charleroi II | First Amateur Division |
| Oct 12, 2025 | Sporting Charleroi II 2-1 Rochefort | First Amateur Division |
| Nov 17, 2024 | Rochefort 2-2 Sporting Charleroi II | First Amateur Division |
| Sep 28, 2024 | Sporting Charleroi II 0-0 Rochefort | First Amateur Division |
Last archived meeting: Rochefort vs Sporting Charleroi II on Dec 6, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Rochefort score 1.5 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; Sporting Charleroi II score 1.1 and concede 2.4. The model gives a 71% probability of over 2.5 goals and 67% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rochefort | 1.5 | 1.8 | 2 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
| Sporting Charleroi II | 1.1 | 2.4 | 4 | 5/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Rochefort sit 6th in First Amateur Division (6 points from 6 matches) and Sporting Charleroi II sit 12th (3 points from 1 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Rochefort | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 16 | 6 |
| 12 | Sporting Charleroi II | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Rochefort vs Sporting Charleroi II?
- The Footlab model makes Rochefort the favourite at 58%, against 21% for a draw and 21% for Sporting Charleroi II.
- Where and when is Rochefort vs Sporting Charleroi II played?
- Rochefort vs Sporting Charleroi II is played on September 19, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC) at Parc des Roches, in the First Amateur Division.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 71% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.