Vitesse vs Roda: prediction and stats
Eerste DivisieRegular Season - 27Kick-off on February 19, 2027 at 07:00 PM (UTC)GelreDome, Arnhem
The Footlab AI model makes Roda the favourite at 37%, against 26% for a draw and 37% for Vitesse. The most likely score is 1-1. If Roda wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,370 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Vitesse vs Roda?
A very open match: only 3 Elo points separate Vitesse (1,704) and Roda (1,707).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Vitesse vs Roda
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Vitesse
4-2-3-1- 9N. Bannis
- 21A. Sellouf
- 20F. de Carvalho
- 6M. Schikora
- 33M. Marschalk
- 16P. Dahbo
- 17V. Zumberi
- 55M. Steffen
- 22Xiamaro Thenu
- 24N. Markelo
- 1C. van den Berg
Roda
3-4-2-1- 9A. van den Hurk
- 4J. Nisbet
- 5K. Jansen
- 11D. Dorenbosch
- 25Bram Marsman
- 14X. van den Berg
- 8J. Mensah
- 3M. Tol
- 15L. Beerten
- 33D. Van den Buijs
- 1J. Treichel
Computed on October 14, 2026 at 04:34 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Vitesse have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Roda have 6, 5 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9, 2026 | FC Volendam(away) | 0-2 | Eerste Divisie |
| Oct 3, 2026 | NAC Breda(home) | 2-2 | Eerste Divisie |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Heracles(away) | 0-2 | Eerste Divisie |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Jong PSV U21(home) | 3-1 | Eerste Divisie |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Roda(away) | 0-1 | Eerste Divisie |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9, 2026 | Jong PSV U21(home) | 1-1 | Eerste Divisie |
| Oct 4, 2026 | VVV Venlo(away) | 0-2 | Eerste Divisie |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Waalwijk(home) | 2-0 | Eerste Divisie |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Jong Ajax(away) | 0-0 | Eerste Divisie |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Vitesse(home) | 1-0 | Eerste Divisie |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Vitesse wins, 2 draws, 2 Roda wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 12, 2026 | Roda 1-0 Vitesse | Eerste Divisie |
| Jul 3, 2026 | Vitesse 1-1 Roda | Friendlies Clubs |
| Mar 16, 2026 | Roda 0-1 Vitesse | Eerste Divisie |
| Oct 24, 2025 | Vitesse 2-2 Roda | Eerste Divisie |
| Apr 19, 2025 | Vitesse 3-0 Roda | Eerste Divisie |
| Nov 26, 2024 | Roda 3-0 Vitesse | Eerste Divisie |
How many goals should we expect?
Vitesse score 1.3 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Roda score 1.7 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vitesse | 1.3 | 1.3 | 2 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
| Roda | 1.7 | 1.0 | 6 | 7/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Vitesse sit 10th in Eerste Divisie (14 points from 10 matches) and Roda sit 6th (16 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Roda | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 10 | 8 | 16 |
| 10 | Vitesse | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 15 | 15 | 14 |
A question about Vitesse vs Roda?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Vitesse vs Roda?
- The Footlab AI model makes Roda the favourite at 37%, against 26% for a draw and 37% for Vitesse.
- Where and when is Vitesse vs Roda played?
- Vitesse vs Roda is played on February 19, 2027 at 07:00 PM (UTC) at GelreDome, in the Eerste Divisie.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.