Jong Utrecht vs Roda: prediction and stats
Eerste DivisieRegular Season - 11Kick-off on October 19, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC)Sportcomplex Zoudenbalch, Utrecht
The Footlab AI model makes Roda the favourite at 60%, against 21% for a draw and 19% for Jong Utrecht. The most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,365 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 13, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Jong Utrecht vs Roda?
Roda starts as the favourite with a 156-point Elo edge (1,717 vs 1,561).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Jong Utrecht vs Roda
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Jong Utrecht
4-3-3- 10Massien Ghaddari
- 11E. C. Owen
- 7Bjorn Menzo
- 9N. Dundas
- 6F. Pohl
- 18D. Laaouina
- 5Viggo Plantinga
- 3J. Schuldes
- 14W. Kooy
- 2Yousri Sbai
- 1M. Eppink
Roda
3-4-2-1- 9A. van den Hurk
- 4J. Nisbet
- 5K. Jansen
- 11D. Dorenbosch
- 25Bram Marsman
- 14X. van den Berg
- 8J. Mensah
- 3M. Tol
- 15L. Beerten
- 33D. Van den Buijs
- 1J. Treichel
Computed on October 13, 2026 at 09:57 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Jong Utrecht have 4 wins, 2 draws and 9 defeats; Roda have 6, 5 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9, 2026 | De Graafschap(away) | 1-2 | Eerste Divisie |
| Sep 18, 2026 | VVV Venlo(home) | 1-3 | Eerste Divisie |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Jong Ajax(home) | 6-1 | Eerste Divisie |
| Sep 11, 2026 | NAC Breda(away) | 3-2 | Eerste Divisie |
| Sep 7, 2026 | FC Eindhoven(home) | 0-0 | Eerste Divisie |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9, 2026 | Jong PSV U21(home) | 1-1 | Eerste Divisie |
| Oct 4, 2026 | VVV Venlo(away) | 0-2 | Eerste Divisie |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Waalwijk(home) | 2-0 | Eerste Divisie |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Jong Ajax(away) | 0-0 | Eerste Divisie |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Vitesse(home) | 1-0 | Eerste Divisie |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Jong Utrecht win, 2 draws, 3 Roda wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Dec 22, 2025 | Jong Utrecht 1-3 Roda | Eerste Divisie |
| Nov 1, 2025 | Roda 1-1 Jong Utrecht | Eerste Divisie |
| Jan 24, 2025 | Roda 3-0 Jong Utrecht | Eerste Divisie |
| Nov 22, 2024 | Jong Utrecht 1-3 Roda | Eerste Divisie |
| Jan 26, 2024 | Roda 0-0 Jong Utrecht | Eerste Divisie |
| Sep 1, 2023 | Jong Utrecht 1-0 Roda | Eerste Divisie |
How many goals should we expect?
Jong Utrecht score 1.6 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; Roda score 1.7 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 66% probability of over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jong Utrecht | 1.6 | 2.1 | 3 | 12/15 | 12/15 |
| Roda | 1.7 | 1.0 | 6 | 7/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Jong Utrecht sit 20th in Eerste Divisie (7 points from 10 matches) and Roda sit 6th (16 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Roda | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 10 | 8 | 16 |
| 20 | Jong Utrecht | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 16 | 23 | 7 |
A question about Jong Utrecht vs Roda?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Jong Utrecht vs Roda?
- The Footlab AI model makes Roda the favourite at 60%, against 21% for a draw and 19% for Jong Utrecht.
- Where and when is Jong Utrecht vs Roda played?
- Jong Utrecht vs Roda is played on October 19, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC) at Sportcomplex Zoudenbalch, in the Eerste Divisie.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 66% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.